Tedea Technological Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TEDE Stock  ILA 571.90  0.10  0.02%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tedea Technological Development on the next trading day is expected to be 548.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 26.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,599. Tedea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tedea Technological stock prices and determine the direction of Tedea Technological Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tedea Technological's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Tedea Technological is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tedea Technological Development value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tedea Technological Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tedea Technological Development on the next trading day is expected to be 548.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 26.22, mean absolute percentage error of 1,275, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,599.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tedea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tedea Technological's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tedea Technological Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tedea Technological Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tedea Technological's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tedea Technological's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 543.14 and 553.78, respectively. We have considered Tedea Technological's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
571.90
543.14
Downside
548.46
Expected Value
553.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tedea Technological stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tedea Technological stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.2614
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation26.2181
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0414
SAESum of the absolute errors1599.3051
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tedea Technological Development. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tedea Technological. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tedea Technological

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tedea Technological. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
566.58571.90577.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
519.53524.85629.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
571.84571.93572.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tedea Technological

For every potential investor in Tedea, whether a beginner or expert, Tedea Technological's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tedea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tedea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tedea Technological's price trends.

Tedea Technological Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tedea Technological stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tedea Technological could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tedea Technological by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tedea Technological Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tedea Technological's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tedea Technological's current price.

Tedea Technological Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tedea Technological stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tedea Technological shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tedea Technological stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tedea Technological Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tedea Technological Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tedea Technological's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tedea Technological's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tedea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Tedea Stock

Tedea Technological financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tedea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tedea with respect to the benefits of owning Tedea Technological security.