Tactical Growth Mutual Fund Forward View

TFAFX Fund  USD 12.83  0.24  1.84%   
Tactical Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Tactical Growth's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tactical Growth's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tactical Growth Allocation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tactical Growth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tactical Growth Allocation from the perspective of Tactical Growth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tactical Growth Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.

Tactical Growth after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tactical Growth to cross-verify your projections.

Tactical Growth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tactical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tactical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tactical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Tactical Growth is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tactical Growth Allocation value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tactical Growth Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tactical Growth Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 12.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tactical Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tactical Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tactical Growth Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tactical Growth  Tactical Growth Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Tactical Growth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tactical Growth's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tactical Growth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.97 and 13.60, respectively. We have considered Tactical Growth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.83
12.78
Expected Value
13.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tactical Growth mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tactical Growth mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7331
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0864
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors5.271
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tactical Growth Allocation. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tactical Growth. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tactical Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tactical Growth Allo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0212.8413.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0212.8413.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tactical Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tactical Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tactical Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tactical Growth Allo.

Tactical Growth After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tactical Growth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tactical Growth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Tactical Growth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tactical Growth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tactical Growth's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tactical Growth's historical news coverage. Tactical Growth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.02 and 13.66, respectively. We have considered Tactical Growth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.83
12.84
After-hype Price
13.66
Upside
Tactical Growth is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tactical Growth Allo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tactical Growth Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Tactical Growth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tactical Growth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tactical Growth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.82
  0.01 
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.83
12.84
0.08 
303.70  
Notes

Tactical Growth Hype Timeline

Tactical Growth Allo is at this time traded for 12.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Tactical is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Tactical Growth is about 386.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.83. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tactical Growth to cross-verify your projections.

Tactical Growth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tactical Growth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tactical Growth's future price movements. Getting to know how Tactical Growth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tactical Growth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TFAGXTfa Alphagen Growth 0.08 1 per month 1.05  0.01  1.10 (1.99) 10.48 
TFAFXTactical Growth Allocation 0.27 2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.09 (1.83) 3.95 
TFAQXTfa Quantitative 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.27 (2.13) 5.04 
TFAZXTfa Tactical Income 0.03 1 per month 0.24 (0.21) 0.47 (0.36) 1.19 
ACMIXAbsolute Capital Defender 0.00 1 per month 0.27 (0.05) 0.68 (0.61) 1.92 
IPOAXIvy Emerging Markets 0.00 0 per month 0.49  0.19  1.93 (1.16) 10.98 
TTFRXTiaa Cref Lifecycle 2045 0.12 1 per month 0.44  0.08  1.00 (1.14) 8.66 
RYSEXRoyce Special Equity 1.62 7 per month 0.00  0.15  1.83 (1.05) 15.38 
SOAAXSpirit Of America 0.00 0 per month 0.69  0.05  1.35 (1.09) 2.94 
OGLCXOppenheimer Global 0.00 0 per month 0.36  0.10  1.48 (1.72) 52.48 

Other Forecasting Options for Tactical Growth

For every potential investor in Tactical, whether a beginner or expert, Tactical Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tactical Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tactical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tactical Growth's price trends.

Tactical Growth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tactical Growth mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tactical Growth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tactical Growth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tactical Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tactical Growth mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tactical Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tactical Growth mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Tactical Growth Allocation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tactical Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tactical Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tactical Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tactical mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Tactical Growth

The number of cover stories for Tactical Growth depends on current market conditions and Tactical Growth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tactical Growth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tactical Growth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Tactical Mutual Fund

Tactical Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tactical Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tactical with respect to the benefits of owning Tactical Growth security.
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