Terra Income Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TFSA Stock | USD 25.02 0.09 0.36% |
Terra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Terra Income stock prices and determine the direction of Terra Income's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Terra Income's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Terra Income's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Terra Income, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Terra Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Terra Income from the perspective of Terra Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Terra Income on the next trading day is expected to be 25.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.69. Terra Income after-hype prediction price | USD 24.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terra Income to cross-verify your projections. Terra Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Terra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Terra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Terra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Terra Income Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Terra Income on the next trading day is expected to be 25.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Terra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Terra Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Terra Income Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Terra Income | Terra Income Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Terra Income Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Terra Income's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Terra Income's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.36 and 25.68, respectively. We have considered Terra Income's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Terra Income stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Terra Income stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8977 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0227 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1134 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0046 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.69 |
Predictive Modules for Terra Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terra Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Terra Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Terra Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Terra Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Terra Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Terra Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Terra Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Terra Income's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Terra Income's historical news coverage. Terra Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.65 and 27.62, respectively. We have considered Terra Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Terra Income is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Terra Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Terra Income Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Terra Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Terra Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Terra Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.02 | 24.31 | 3.19 |
|
Terra Income Hype Timeline
Terra Income is at this time traded for 25.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Terra is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Terra Income is about 160.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terra Income to cross-verify your projections.Terra Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Terra Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Terra Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Terra Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Terra Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPTA | Terra Property Trust | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.85 | (0.43) | 1.80 | |
| REAIX | American Century Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.87 | (1.39) | 3.30 | |
| REACX | Real Estate Fund | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.91 | (1.39) | 3.31 | |
| TRREX | T Rowe Price | (0.17) | 1 per month | 0.85 | (0.04) | 1.21 | (1.61) | 7.13 | |
| DHC | Diversified Healthcare Trust | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.17 | 4.39 | (3.90) | 12.32 | |
| NBRFX | Neuberger Berman Real | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.03 | (1.25) | 3.21 | |
| SCCE | Sachem Capital Corp | (0.67) | 20 per month | 0.31 | 0.02 | 0.85 | (0.85) | 2.23 | |
| FREEX | Franklin Real Estate | 0.19 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.06 | (1.29) | 3.21 | |
| VGISX | Virtus Global Real | (3.09) | 6 per month | 0.68 | (0.12) | 0.86 | (1.22) | 2.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Terra Income
For every potential investor in Terra, whether a beginner or expert, Terra Income's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Terra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Terra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Terra Income's price trends.Terra Income Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Terra Income stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Terra Income could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Terra Income by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Terra Income Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Terra Income stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Terra Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Terra Income stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Terra Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Terra Income Risk Indicators
The analysis of Terra Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Terra Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting terra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3951 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5189 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.647 | |||
| Variance | 0.4186 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8026 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2693 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Terra Income
The number of cover stories for Terra Income depends on current market conditions and Terra Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Terra Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Terra Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terra Income to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Terra Stock refer to our How to Trade Terra Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Terra Income. If investors know Terra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Terra Income listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Terra Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Terra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Terra Income's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Terra Income's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Terra Income's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Terra Income's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Terra Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Terra Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Terra Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.