Tego Cyber Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TGCB Stock | USD 0.07 0 2.06% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tego Cyber on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57. Tego Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tego Cyber stock prices and determine the direction of Tego Cyber's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tego Cyber's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Tego Cyber's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tego Cyber, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tego Cyber hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tego Cyber from the perspective of Tego Cyber response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tego Cyber on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57. Tego Cyber after-hype prediction price | USD 0.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tego |
Tego Cyber Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tego price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tego using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tego charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tego Cyber Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tego Cyber on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tego Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tego Cyber's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tego Cyber Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tego Cyber | Tego Cyber Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tego Cyber Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tego Cyber's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tego Cyber's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0007 and 17.27, respectively. We have considered Tego Cyber's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tego Cyber pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tego Cyber pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.1419 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0093 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1375 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.569 |
Predictive Modules for Tego Cyber
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tego Cyber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tego Cyber's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tego Cyber After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tego Cyber at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tego Cyber or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Tego Cyber, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tego Cyber Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tego Cyber's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tego Cyber's historical news coverage. Tego Cyber's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 17.27, respectively. We have considered Tego Cyber's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tego Cyber is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tego Cyber is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tego Cyber Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tego Cyber is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tego Cyber backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tego Cyber, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.39 | 17.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.07 | 0.07 | 0.86 |
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Tego Cyber Hype Timeline
Tego Cyber is at this time traded for 0.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tego is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.86%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.39%. The volatility of related hype on Tego Cyber is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.55 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.55 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tego Cyber to cross-verify your projections.Tego Cyber Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tego Cyber's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tego Cyber's future price movements. Getting to know how Tego Cyber's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tego Cyber may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKKFF | Tenet Fintech Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.86 | 0.09 | 56.52 | (39.24) | 118.59 | |
| ZPTA | Zapata Computing Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.94 | 0.24 | 49.25 | (17.04) | 89.75 | |
| QGSI | Quantgate Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.61 | 0.08 | 32.23 | (19.87) | 69.84 | |
| DSAIF | DeepSpatial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SRCO | Sparta Commercial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.11 | (11.11) | 26.32 | |
| WPNDF | Wishpond Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 9.09 | (9.09) | 40.04 | |
| RWCRF | RIWI Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.47 | |
| VQSSF | VIQ Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.90 | 0.07 | 8.33 | (7.14) | 22.62 | |
| LCHD | Leader Capital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.00 | (11.76) | 82.94 | |
| CAUD | Collective Audience | 0.00 | 0 per month | 39.25 | 0.35 | 809.09 | (96.45) | 1,099 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tego Cyber
For every potential investor in Tego, whether a beginner or expert, Tego Cyber's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tego Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tego. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tego Cyber's price trends.Tego Cyber Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tego Cyber pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tego Cyber could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tego Cyber by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tego Cyber Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tego Cyber pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tego Cyber shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tego Cyber pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Tego Cyber entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 76908.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0401 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0625 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0648 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.0077 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.0014 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.34 |
Tego Cyber Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tego Cyber's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tego Cyber's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tego pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 11.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 17.2 | |||
| Variance | 295.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 345.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 143.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (19.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tego Cyber
The number of cover stories for Tego Cyber depends on current market conditions and Tego Cyber's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tego Cyber is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tego Cyber's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tego Cyber Short Properties
Tego Cyber's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tego Cyber's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tego Cyber often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tego Cyber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tego Cyber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.5 M | |
| Shares Float | 20 M |
Other Information on Investing in Tego Pink Sheet
Tego Cyber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tego Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tego with respect to the benefits of owning Tego Cyber security.