Mobilezone Holding Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

TGE1 Stock   8.89  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mobilezone Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 8.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Mobilezone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Mobilezone Holding works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Mobilezone Holding Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mobilezone Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 8.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mobilezone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mobilezone Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mobilezone Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mobilezone Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mobilezone Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mobilezone Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.89 and 8.89, respectively. We have considered Mobilezone Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.89
8.89
Expected Value
8.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mobilezone Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mobilezone Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Mobilezone Holding AG prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Mobilezone Holding AG trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Mobilezone Holding observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mobilezone Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobilezone Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.898.898.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.898.898.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mobilezone Holding

For every potential investor in Mobilezone, whether a beginner or expert, Mobilezone Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mobilezone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mobilezone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mobilezone Holding's price trends.

Mobilezone Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mobilezone Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mobilezone Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mobilezone Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mobilezone Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mobilezone Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mobilezone Holding's current price.

Mobilezone Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mobilezone Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mobilezone Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mobilezone Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mobilezone Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Mobilezone Stock Analysis

When running Mobilezone Holding's price analysis, check to measure Mobilezone Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mobilezone Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Mobilezone Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mobilezone Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mobilezone Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mobilezone Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.