LAFFERTENGLER Equity Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TGLR Etf | 37.13 0.28 0.76% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LAFFERTENGLER Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 37.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.18. LAFFERTENGLER Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of LAFFERTENGLER Equity's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using LAFFERTENGLER Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LAFFERTENGLER Equity Income from the perspective of LAFFERTENGLER Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LAFFERTENGLER Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 37.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.18. LAFFERTENGLER Equity after-hype prediction price | USD 36.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LAFFERTENGLER | Build AI portfolio with LAFFERTENGLER Etf |
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LAFFERTENGLER price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LAFFERTENGLER using various technical indicators. When you analyze LAFFERTENGLER charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LAFFERTENGLER Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 37.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LAFFERTENGLER Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LAFFERTENGLER Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LAFFERTENGLER Equity | LAFFERTENGLER Equity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LAFFERTENGLER Equity's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LAFFERTENGLER Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.32 and 37.94, respectively. We have considered LAFFERTENGLER Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LAFFERTENGLER Equity etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LAFFERTENGLER Equity etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6318 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0311 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2325 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.18 |
Predictive Modules for LAFFERTENGLER Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LAFFERTENGLER Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for LAFFERTENGLER Equity
For every potential investor in LAFFERTENGLER, whether a beginner or expert, LAFFERTENGLER Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LAFFERTENGLER Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LAFFERTENGLER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LAFFERTENGLER Equity's price trends.LAFFERTENGLER Equity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LAFFERTENGLER Equity etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LAFFERTENGLER Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LAFFERTENGLER Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LAFFERTENGLER Equity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LAFFERTENGLER Equity's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LAFFERTENGLER Equity etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LAFFERTENGLER Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LAFFERTENGLER Equity etf market strength indicators, traders can identify LAFFERTENGLER Equity Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LAFFERTENGLER Equity Risk Indicators
The analysis of LAFFERTENGLER Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LAFFERTENGLER Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting laffertengler etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6295 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7444 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.795 | |||
| Variance | 0.632 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6971 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5541 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with LAFFERTENGLER Equity
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LAFFERTENGLER Equity position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LAFFERTENGLER Equity will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with LAFFERTENGLER Etf
| 0.81 | VTV | Vanguard Value Index | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | VYM | Vanguard High Dividend | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | IWD | iShares Russell 1000 | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | DGRO | iShares Core Dividend | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | IVE | iShares SP 500 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LAFFERTENGLER Equity could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LAFFERTENGLER Equity when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LAFFERTENGLER Equity - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LAFFERTENGLER Equity Income to buy it.
The correlation of LAFFERTENGLER Equity is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LAFFERTENGLER Equity moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LAFFERTENGLER Equity moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LAFFERTENGLER Equity can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LAFFERTENGLER Equity to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
The market value of LAFFERTENGLER Equity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LAFFERTENGLER that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LAFFERTENGLER Equity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LAFFERTENGLER Equity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LAFFERTENGLER Equity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LAFFERTENGLER Equity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LAFFERTENGLER Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LAFFERTENGLER Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LAFFERTENGLER Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.