Tegma Gesto Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TGMA3 Stock  BRL 35.65  0.25  0.71%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tegma Gesto Logstica on the next trading day is expected to be 35.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.73. Tegma Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Tegma Gesto's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tegma Gesto's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tegma Gesto and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tegma Gesto's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tegma Gesto Logstica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tegma Gesto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tegma Gesto Logstica from the perspective of Tegma Gesto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tegma Gesto Logstica on the next trading day is expected to be 35.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.73.

Tegma Gesto after-hype prediction price

    
  BRL 35.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tegma Gesto to cross-verify your projections.

Tegma Gesto Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tegma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tegma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tegma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Tegma Gesto - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Tegma Gesto prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Tegma Gesto price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Tegma Gesto Logstica.

Tegma Gesto Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tegma Gesto Logstica on the next trading day is expected to be 35.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tegma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tegma Gesto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tegma Gesto Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tegma GestoTegma Gesto Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Tegma Gesto Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tegma Gesto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tegma Gesto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.93 and 37.31, respectively. We have considered Tegma Gesto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.65
35.62
Expected Value
37.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tegma Gesto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tegma Gesto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0603
MADMean absolute deviation0.4288
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors25.7271
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Tegma Gesto observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Tegma Gesto Logstica observations.

Predictive Modules for Tegma Gesto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tegma Gesto Logstica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.9635.6537.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9928.6839.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tegma Gesto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tegma Gesto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tegma Gesto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tegma Gesto Logstica.

Other Forecasting Options for Tegma Gesto

For every potential investor in Tegma, whether a beginner or expert, Tegma Gesto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tegma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tegma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tegma Gesto's price trends.

Tegma Gesto Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tegma Gesto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tegma Gesto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tegma Gesto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tegma Gesto Logstica Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tegma Gesto's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tegma Gesto's current price.

Tegma Gesto Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tegma Gesto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tegma Gesto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tegma Gesto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tegma Gesto Logstica entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tegma Gesto Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tegma Gesto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tegma Gesto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tegma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Tegma Stock Analysis

When running Tegma Gesto's price analysis, check to measure Tegma Gesto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tegma Gesto is operating at the current time. Most of Tegma Gesto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tegma Gesto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tegma Gesto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tegma Gesto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.