Teligent Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TGNT Stock  USD 0.02  0.01  21.74%   
Teligent Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Teligent's share price is approaching 40. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Teligent, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Teligent's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Teligent, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Teligent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teligent from the perspective of Teligent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Teligent on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.

Teligent after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teligent to cross-verify your projections.

Teligent Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Teligent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teligent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teligent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Teligent is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Teligent Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Teligent on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000642, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teligent Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teligent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teligent Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Teligent  Teligent Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Teligent Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teligent's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teligent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 9.91, respectively. We have considered Teligent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
9.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teligent pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teligent pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.3158
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0018
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0777
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1107
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Teligent price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Teligent. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Teligent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teligent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.029.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.029.53
Details

Teligent After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Teligent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teligent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Teligent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Teligent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Teligent's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teligent's historical news coverage. Teligent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.53, respectively. We have considered Teligent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.02
0.02
After-hype Price
9.53
Upside
Teligent is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teligent is based on 3 months time horizon.

Teligent Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teligent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teligent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teligent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.93 
9.89
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.02
0.02
10.71 
0.00  
Notes

Teligent Hype Timeline

Teligent is at this time traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Teligent is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -10.71%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.93%. The volatility of related hype on Teligent is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 0.01. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teligent to cross-verify your projections.

Teligent Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Teligent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teligent's future price movements. Getting to know how Teligent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teligent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Teligent

For every potential investor in Teligent, whether a beginner or expert, Teligent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teligent Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teligent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teligent's price trends.

Teligent Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teligent pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teligent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teligent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teligent Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teligent pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teligent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teligent pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Teligent entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teligent Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teligent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teligent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teligent pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Teligent

The number of cover stories for Teligent depends on current market conditions and Teligent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teligent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teligent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Teligent Short Properties

Teligent's future price predictability will typically decrease when Teligent's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teligent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teligent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teligent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares84.89M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day255.85k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month90.51k

Additional Tools for Teligent Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Teligent's price analysis, check to measure Teligent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teligent is operating at the current time. Most of Teligent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teligent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teligent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teligent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.