TGS NOPEC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

TGS Stock  NOK 109.00  2.50  2.35%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TGS NOPEC Geophysical on the next trading day is expected to be 101.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.28. TGS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through TGS NOPEC price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

TGS NOPEC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TGS NOPEC Geophysical on the next trading day is expected to be 101.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46, mean absolute percentage error of 18.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TGS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TGS NOPEC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TGS NOPEC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TGS NOPECTGS NOPEC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TGS NOPEC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TGS NOPEC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TGS NOPEC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.44 and 103.69, respectively. We have considered TGS NOPEC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
109.00
101.06
Expected Value
103.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TGS NOPEC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TGS NOPEC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.8773
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.4562
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0339
SAESum of the absolute errors214.2842
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as TGS NOPEC Geophysical historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for TGS NOPEC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TGS NOPEC Geophysical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.37109.00111.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.3890.01119.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
98.58104.16109.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TGS NOPEC

For every potential investor in TGS, whether a beginner or expert, TGS NOPEC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TGS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TGS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TGS NOPEC's price trends.

TGS NOPEC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TGS NOPEC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TGS NOPEC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TGS NOPEC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TGS NOPEC Geophysical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TGS NOPEC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TGS NOPEC's current price.

TGS NOPEC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TGS NOPEC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TGS NOPEC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TGS NOPEC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TGS NOPEC Geophysical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TGS NOPEC Risk Indicators

The analysis of TGS NOPEC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TGS NOPEC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tgs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in TGS Stock

TGS NOPEC financial ratios help investors to determine whether TGS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TGS with respect to the benefits of owning TGS NOPEC security.