TryHard Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| THH Stock | 0.70 0.06 7.89% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TryHard Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 181.73. TryHard Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TryHard Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, the value of RSI of TryHard Holdings' share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TryHard Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TryHard Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TryHard Holdings Limited from the perspective of TryHard Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TryHard Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 181.73. TryHard Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TryHard Holdings to cross-verify your projections. TryHard Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TryHard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TryHard using various technical indicators. When you analyze TryHard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TryHard Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TryHard Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.08, mean absolute percentage error of 48.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 181.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TryHard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TryHard Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TryHard Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TryHard Holdings | TryHard Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TryHard Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TryHard Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TryHard Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 29.20, respectively. We have considered TryHard Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TryHard Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TryHard Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.32 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1995 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.6035 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 181.73 |
Predictive Modules for TryHard Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TryHard Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TryHard Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TryHard Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TryHard Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TryHard Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TryHard Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TryHard Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TryHard Holdings' historical news coverage. TryHard Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 29.17, respectively. We have considered TryHard Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TryHard Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TryHard Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
TryHard Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TryHard Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TryHard Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TryHard Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.19 | 28.47 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
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TryHard Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January TryHard Holdings is traded for 0.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.13. TryHard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on TryHard Holdings is about 25648.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.57. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TryHard Holdings to cross-verify your projections.TryHard Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TryHard Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TryHard Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how TryHard Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TryHard Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PHOE | Phoenix Asia Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.46 | (8.12) | 23.96 | |
| ANPA | Rich Sparkle Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.63 | 0.12 | 21.25 | (23.66) | 295.76 | |
| FBYD | Falcons Beyond Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 19.89 | (15.22) | 45.53 | |
| KODK | Eastman Kodak Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.97 | 0.03 | 7.07 | (4.89) | 40.56 | |
| SPIR | Spire Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.93 | 0.03 | 8.32 | (5.84) | 31.88 | |
| ORN | Orion Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.65 | 0.13 | 5.34 | (5.52) | 25.03 | |
| SRTA | Strata Critical Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.05 | 0.04 | 6.22 | (4.73) | 21.14 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (1.87) | 6.77 | |
| CASS | Cass Information Systems | (1.11) | 9 per month | 1.04 | 0.10 | 3.60 | (2.22) | 6.75 | |
| ULH | Universal Logistics Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.86 | 0 | 8.52 | (6.63) | 18.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for TryHard Holdings
For every potential investor in TryHard, whether a beginner or expert, TryHard Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TryHard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TryHard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TryHard Holdings' price trends.TryHard Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TryHard Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TryHard Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TryHard Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TryHard Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TryHard Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TryHard Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TryHard Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TryHard Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TryHard Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of TryHard Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TryHard Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tryhard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 15.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 24.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 28.47 | |||
| Variance | 810.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 757.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 609.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (15.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TryHard Holdings
The number of cover stories for TryHard Holdings depends on current market conditions and TryHard Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TryHard Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TryHard Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TryHard Holdings Short Properties
TryHard Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when TryHard Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TryHard Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TryHard Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TryHard Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 135.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TryHard Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TryHard Holdings. If investors know TryHard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TryHard Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of TryHard Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TryHard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TryHard Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TryHard Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TryHard Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TryHard Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TryHard Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TryHard Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TryHard Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.