THOR Financial Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

THIR Etf   26.63  0.12  0.45%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of THOR Financial Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 26.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.10. THOR Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for THOR Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of THOR Financial Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

THOR Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of THOR Financial Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 26.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict THOR Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that THOR Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

THOR Financial Etf Forecast Pattern

THOR Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting THOR Financial's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. THOR Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.78 and 27.65, respectively. We have considered THOR Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.63
26.71
Expected Value
27.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of THOR Financial etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent THOR Financial etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.711
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2475
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0095
SAESum of the absolute errors15.097
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of THOR Financial Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict THOR Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for THOR Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as THOR Financial Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.7026.6327.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8425.7726.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.6726.3427.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for THOR Financial

For every potential investor in THOR, whether a beginner or expert, THOR Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. THOR Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in THOR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying THOR Financial's price trends.

THOR Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with THOR Financial etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of THOR Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing THOR Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

THOR Financial Techn Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of THOR Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of THOR Financial's current price.

THOR Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how THOR Financial etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading THOR Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying THOR Financial etf market strength indicators, traders can identify THOR Financial Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

THOR Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of THOR Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in THOR Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thor etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with THOR Financial

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if THOR Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in THOR Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against THOR Etf

  0.31MRK Merck CompanyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to THOR Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace THOR Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back THOR Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling THOR Financial Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of THOR Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as THOR Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if THOR Financial Techn moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for THOR Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether THOR Financial Techn is a strong investment it is important to analyze THOR Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact THOR Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding THOR Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out fundamental analysis of THOR Financial to check your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
The market value of THOR Financial Techn is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of THOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of THOR Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is THOR Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because THOR Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect THOR Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between THOR Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if THOR Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, THOR Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.