THOR Financial Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

THLV Etf  USD 31.36  0.04  0.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of THOR Financial Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 31.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.72. THOR Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of THOR Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of THOR Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of THOR Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from THOR Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with THOR Financial Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using THOR Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of THOR Financial Technologies from the perspective of THOR Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards THOR Financial using THOR Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards THOR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of THOR Financial's stock price.

THOR Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.3  
THOR Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of THOR Financial Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if THOR Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that THOR Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when THOR Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of THOR Financial Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 31.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.72.

THOR Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of THOR Financial to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current THOR contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that THOR Financial Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With THOR Financial trading at USD 31.36, that is roughly USD 0.00588 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating THOR Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring THOR Financial Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 THOR Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast THOR Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in THOR Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for THOR Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current THOR Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to THOR Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of THOR Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in THOR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

THOR Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine THOR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for THOR using various technical indicators. When you analyze THOR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
THOR Financial simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for THOR Financial Technologies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as THOR Financial Techn prices get older.

THOR Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of THOR Financial Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 31.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict THOR Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that THOR Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

THOR Financial Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest THOR FinancialTHOR Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

THOR Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting THOR Financial's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. THOR Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.61 and 32.11, respectively. We have considered THOR Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.36
31.36
Expected Value
32.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of THOR Financial etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent THOR Financial etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1188
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0239
MADMean absolute deviation0.1757
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors10.72
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting THOR Financial Technologies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent THOR Financial observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for THOR Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as THOR Financial Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6031.3532.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.3031.0531.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.1430.2631.38
Details

THOR Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of THOR Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in THOR Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of THOR Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

THOR Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting THOR Financial's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on THOR Financial's historical news coverage. THOR Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.60 and 32.10, respectively. We have considered THOR Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.36
31.35
After-hype Price
32.10
Upside
THOR Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of THOR Financial Techn is based on 3 months time horizon.

THOR Financial Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as THOR Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading THOR Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with THOR Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.75
  0.01 
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.36
31.35
0.03 
416.67  
Notes

THOR Financial Hype Timeline

THOR Financial Techn is at this time traded for 31.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. THOR is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on THOR Financial is about 474.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.37. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of THOR Financial to cross-verify your projections.

THOR Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to THOR Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict THOR Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how THOR Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how THOR Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FTWOEA Series Trust 1.07 1 per month 1.21  0.04  1.85 (2.41) 4.29 
AHLTAmerican Beacon Select(0.04)1 per month 0.96  0.10  2.21 (1.58) 5.63 
HRTSTema Cardiovascular and 0.03 1 per month 0.37  0.12  1.88 (1.10) 4.08 
NDIAGlobal X Funds 0.01 5 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.99 (1.28) 4.86 
FMETFidelity Metaverse ETF 0.49 7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.92 (2.51) 4.71 
SURESonora Resources Corp 0.00 2 per month 0.55  0.06  1.78 (0.98) 4.06 
ITDDiShares Trust 0.01 1 per month 0.48 (0.08) 0.77 (0.86) 2.16 
KDEFExchange Listed Funds 0.51 1 per month 1.99  0.15  4.16 (3.07) 8.93 
XUSPInnovator Uncapped Accelerated(0.44)3 per month 1.09 (0.04) 1.49 (1.87) 5.23 
PSFDPacer Swan SOS(0.06)2 per month 0.22 (0.14) 0.53 (0.46) 2.31 

Other Forecasting Options for THOR Financial

For every potential investor in THOR, whether a beginner or expert, THOR Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. THOR Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in THOR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying THOR Financial's price trends.

THOR Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with THOR Financial etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of THOR Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing THOR Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

THOR Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how THOR Financial etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading THOR Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying THOR Financial etf market strength indicators, traders can identify THOR Financial Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

THOR Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of THOR Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in THOR Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thor etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for THOR Financial

The number of cover stories for THOR Financial depends on current market conditions and THOR Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that THOR Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about THOR Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether THOR Financial Techn is a strong investment it is important to analyze THOR Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact THOR Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding THOR Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of THOR Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
The market value of THOR Financial Techn is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of THOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of THOR Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is THOR Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because THOR Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect THOR Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between THOR Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if THOR Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, THOR Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.