Thor Industries Stock Forward View
| THO Stock | USD 111.87 1.05 0.93% |
Thor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Thor Industries' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Thor Industries' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Thor Industries fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Thor Industries' share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Thor Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.399 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.2627 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.7921 | Wall Street Target Price 113.4167 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) |
Using Thor Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thor Industries from the perspective of Thor Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Thor Industries using Thor Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Thor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Thor Industries' stock price.
Thor Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long Thor Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Thor Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge Thor Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 97.6085 | Short Percent 0.0678 | Short Ratio 5.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 106.9718 |
Thor Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thor Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 106.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.79.Thor Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Thor Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Thor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Thor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Thor Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Thor Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Thor Industries.
Thor Industries Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Thor Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Thor Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Thor Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Thor Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Thor Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thor Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 106.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.79. Thor Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 111.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thor Industries to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Thor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Thor Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Thor Industries trading at USD 111.87, that is roughly USD 0.0357 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Thor Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Thor Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Thor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Thor Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Thor Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Thor Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Thor Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Thor Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Thor Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Thor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Thor Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Thor Industries Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Thor Industries' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1986-07-31 | Previous Quarter 586.6 M | Current Value 509.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 146.5 M |
Thor Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thor Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 106.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01, mean absolute percentage error of 5.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thor Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Thor Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Thor Industries | Thor Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Thor Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Thor Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thor Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 103.91 and 108.70, respectively. We have considered Thor Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thor Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thor Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8809 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0129 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0192 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 122.7856 |
Predictive Modules for Thor Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thor Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thor Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thor Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thor Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thor Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thor Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thor Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thor Industries' historical news coverage. Thor Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 109.48 and 114.26, respectively. We have considered Thor Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thor Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thor Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thor Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thor Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thor Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thor Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.39 | 0.33 | 0.02 | 22 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
111.87 | 111.87 | 0.00 |
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Thor Industries Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Thor Industries is traded for 111.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Thor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 131.32%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thor Industries is about 1770.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 111.85. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Thor Industries has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.24. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2026. Thor Industries had 2:1 split on the 27th of January 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thor Industries to cross-verify your projections.Thor Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thor Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thor Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Thor Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thor Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTN | Vail Resorts | (1.82) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.80 | (3.39) | 13.29 | |
| DOOO | BRP Inc | (0.34) | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.10 | 4.39 | (2.13) | 8.88 | |
| LTH | Life Time Group | 2.48 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 3.90 | (3.10) | 9.67 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | 0.57 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.11 | 3.50 | (2.89) | 8.69 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.15 | (3.12) | 9.57 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 1.45 | 9 per month | 3.12 | 0.02 | 5.28 | (4.20) | 25.85 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.63 | (2.24) | 7.12 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | (2.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.58 | (2.66) | 11.48 | |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings | 0.74 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.36 | (3.98) | 11.35 | |
| M | Macys Inc | (1.82) | 10 per month | 2.01 | 0.02 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Thor Industries
For every potential investor in Thor, whether a beginner or expert, Thor Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thor Industries' price trends.Thor Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thor Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thor Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thor Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Thor Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thor Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thor Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thor Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thor Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Thor Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Thor Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thor Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Thor Industries
The number of cover stories for Thor Industries depends on current market conditions and Thor Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thor Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thor Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Thor Industries Short Properties
Thor Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Thor Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thor Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thor Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thor Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 586.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thor Industries to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Thor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Thor Industries guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Thor diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Thor Industries. If investors know Thor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Thor Industries data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.399 | Dividend Share 2.02 | Earnings Share 5.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 |
The market value of Thor Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Thor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Thor Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Thor Industries' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Thor Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Thor Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Thor Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thor Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Thor Industries' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.