Embracer Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

THQQF Stock  USD 5.90  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Embracer Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 5.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.45. Embracer Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Embracer Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Embracer Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Embracer Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Embracer Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Embracer Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Embracer Group AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Embracer Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Embracer Group AB from the perspective of Embracer Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Embracer Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 5.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.45.

Embracer Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Embracer Group to cross-verify your projections.

Embracer Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Embracer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Embracer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Embracer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Embracer Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Embracer Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Embracer Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 5.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Embracer Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Embracer Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Embracer Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Embracer GroupEmbracer Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Embracer Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Embracer Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Embracer Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.49 and 10.31, respectively. We have considered Embracer Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.90
5.90
Expected Value
10.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Embracer Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Embracer Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8179
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.133
MADMean absolute deviation0.1408
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0196
SAESum of the absolute errors8.45
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Embracer Group AB price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Embracer Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Embracer Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Embracer Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.756.1610.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.255.6610.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
4.087.0410.01
Details

Embracer Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Embracer Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Embracer Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Embracer Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Embracer Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Embracer Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Embracer Group's historical news coverage. Embracer Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.75 and 10.57, respectively. We have considered Embracer Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.90
6.16
After-hype Price
10.57
Upside
Embracer Group is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Embracer Group AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Embracer Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Embracer Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Embracer Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Embracer Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.95 
4.41
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.90
6.16
4.41 
0.00  
Notes

Embracer Group Hype Timeline

Embracer Group AB is at this time traded for 5.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Embracer is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 4.41%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.95%. The volatility of related hype on Embracer Group is about 16333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.93. Embracer Group generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Embracer Group to cross-verify your projections.

Embracer Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Embracer Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Embracer Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Embracer Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Embracer Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DNACFDeNA Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  1.13  0.00  46.70 
TSHTYToshiba Tec Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.10 (2.70) 13.86 
PRXXFParadox Interactive AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 0.39 (2.35) 12.99 
MIXIFmixi Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TOPCFTopcon 0.27 8 per month 0.00  0.18  0.00  0.00  4,712,435 
APELFAlps Alpine Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AIIXYAixtron SE ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.96  0.15  11.60 (4.53) 30.62 
HMNKFHMS Networks AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.00  0.00  5.54 
NSSXFNS Solutions 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WEMXFWeimob Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  30.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Embracer Group

For every potential investor in Embracer, whether a beginner or expert, Embracer Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Embracer Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Embracer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Embracer Group's price trends.

Embracer Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Embracer Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Embracer Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Embracer Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Embracer Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Embracer Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Embracer Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Embracer Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Embracer Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Embracer Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Embracer Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Embracer Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting embracer pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Embracer Group

The number of cover stories for Embracer Group depends on current market conditions and Embracer Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Embracer Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Embracer Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Embracer Pink Sheet

Embracer Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Embracer Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Embracer with respect to the benefits of owning Embracer Group security.