Treehouse Foods Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| THS Stock | USD 24.64 0.01 0.04% |
Treehouse Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Treehouse Foods' share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Treehouse, making its price go up or down. Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.341 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9629 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6866 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.971 | Wall Street Target Price 21.9167 |
Using Treehouse Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Treehouse Foods from the perspective of Treehouse Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Treehouse Foods using Treehouse Foods' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Treehouse using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Treehouse Foods' stock price.
Treehouse Foods Short Interest
An investor who is long Treehouse Foods may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Treehouse Foods and may potentially protect profits, hedge Treehouse Foods with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.1857 | Short Percent 0.0264 | Short Ratio 1.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 23.8622 |
Treehouse Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Treehouse Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 24.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.40.Treehouse Foods Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Treehouse Foods' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Treehouse. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Treehouse can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Treehouse Foods. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Treehouse Foods' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Treehouse Foods.
Treehouse Foods Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Treehouse Foods' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Treehouse Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Treehouse Foods' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Treehouse Foods stock will not fluctuate a lot when Treehouse Foods' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Treehouse Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 24.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.40. Treehouse Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 24.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Treehouse | Build AI portfolio with Treehouse Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Treehouse contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Treehouse Foods will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Treehouse Foods trading at USD 24.64, that is roughly USD 0.007238 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Treehouse Foods' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Treehouse Foods options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Treehouse Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Treehouse Foods' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Treehouse Foods' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Treehouse Foods stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Treehouse Foods' open interest, investors have to compare it to Treehouse Foods' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Treehouse Foods is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Treehouse. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Treehouse Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Treehouse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Treehouse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Treehouse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Treehouse Foods Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Treehouse Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 24.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Treehouse Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Treehouse Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Treehouse Foods Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Treehouse Foods | Treehouse Foods Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Treehouse Foods Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Treehouse Foods' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Treehouse Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.66 and 27.62, respectively. We have considered Treehouse Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Treehouse Foods stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Treehouse Foods stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4604 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1465 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.24 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.4 |
Predictive Modules for Treehouse Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Treehouse Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Treehouse Foods After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Treehouse Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Treehouse Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Treehouse Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Treehouse Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Treehouse Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Treehouse Foods' historical news coverage. Treehouse Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.81 and 27.77, respectively. We have considered Treehouse Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Treehouse Foods is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Treehouse Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Treehouse Foods Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Treehouse Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Treehouse Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Treehouse Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.98 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 23 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.64 | 24.79 | 0.61 |
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Treehouse Foods Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Treehouse Foods is traded for 24.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Treehouse is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Treehouse Foods is about 1347.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.75. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.35 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 26.9 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.1 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 23 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Treehouse Foods to cross-verify your projections.Treehouse Foods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Treehouse Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Treehouse Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Treehouse Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Treehouse Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UTZ | Utz Brands | (0.11) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.32 | (4.80) | 12.63 | |
| HLF | Herbalife Nutrition | 0.13 | 6 per month | 1.86 | 0.23 | 9.22 | (4.28) | 30.37 | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | (0.17) | 8 per month | 2.15 | (0.01) | 2.65 | (3.26) | 12.80 | |
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.54 | (5.00) | 10.76 | |
| JBSS | John B Sanfilippo | 1.37 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 2.44 | (2.19) | 23.73 | |
| EPC | Edgewell Personal Care | (0.05) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.32 | (3.04) | 8.34 | |
| UDMY | Udemy Inc | 0.26 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.32 | (6.25) | 24.69 | |
| AVO | Mission Produce | 0.30 | 10 per month | 2.58 | 0.07 | 2.46 | (3.23) | 12.39 | |
| STKL | SunOpta | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.09 | (3.77) | 27.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Treehouse Foods
For every potential investor in Treehouse, whether a beginner or expert, Treehouse Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Treehouse Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Treehouse. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Treehouse Foods' price trends.Treehouse Foods Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Treehouse Foods stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Treehouse Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Treehouse Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Treehouse Foods Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Treehouse Foods stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Treehouse Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Treehouse Foods stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Treehouse Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3245.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.11) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.64 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.64 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 75.73 |
Treehouse Foods Risk Indicators
The analysis of Treehouse Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Treehouse Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting treehouse stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6715 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Variance | 8.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.451 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Treehouse Foods
The number of cover stories for Treehouse Foods depends on current market conditions and Treehouse Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Treehouse Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Treehouse Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Treehouse Foods Short Properties
Treehouse Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Treehouse Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Treehouse Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Treehouse Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Treehouse Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 289.6 M |
Additional Tools for Treehouse Stock Analysis
When running Treehouse Foods' price analysis, check to measure Treehouse Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Treehouse Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Treehouse Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Treehouse Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Treehouse Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Treehouse Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.