Thule Group Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| THULE Stock | SEK 238.40 9.20 3.72% |
Thule Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Thule Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Thule Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thule Group AB from the perspective of Thule Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Thule Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 220.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 355.01. Thule Group after-hype prediction price | SEK 238.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Thule |
Thule Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thule price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thule using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thule charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Thule Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Thule Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 220.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.73, mean absolute percentage error of 53.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 355.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thule Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thule Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Thule Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Thule Group | Thule Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Thule Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Thule Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thule Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 217.36 and 222.73, respectively. We have considered Thule Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thule Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thule Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.9337 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.7259 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 355.0075 |
Predictive Modules for Thule Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thule Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thule Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thule Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thule Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thule Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thule Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thule Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thule Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thule Group's historical news coverage. Thule Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 235.72 and 241.08, respectively. We have considered Thule Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thule Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thule Group AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thule Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thule Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thule Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thule Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
238.40 | 238.40 | 0.00 |
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Thule Group Hype Timeline
Thule Group AB is at this time traded for 238.40on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thule is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thule Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 238.40. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Thule Group was at this time reported as 62.67. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.71. Thule Group AB last dividend was issued on the 5th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thule Group to cross-verify your projections.Thule Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thule Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thule Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Thule Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thule Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASMDEE-B | Financire Amuse TopCo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.23 | (3.44) | 6.23 | |
| CLAS-B | Clas Ohlson AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | (0) | 3.94 | (1.91) | 20.32 | |
| DOM | Dometic Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.56 | (3.37) | 23.73 | |
| SHOT | Scandic Hotels Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.94 | (3.67) | 12.67 | |
| BETS-B | Betsson AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.32 | (4.98) | 23.82 | |
| NEWA-B | New Wave Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.32 | (2.69) | 10.69 | |
| MIPS | MIPS AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.98 | (4.75) | 14.00 | |
| PNDX-B | Pandox AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | (0.05) | 1.80 | (1.64) | 5.68 | |
| SKIS-B | SkiStar AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.07 | 1.89 | (1.34) | 6.37 | |
| SODER | Soder Sportfiske AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.98 | (3.79) | 12.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Thule Group
For every potential investor in Thule, whether a beginner or expert, Thule Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thule Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thule. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thule Group's price trends.Thule Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thule Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thule Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thule Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Thule Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thule Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thule Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thule Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thule Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 30827.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.77) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 241.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 240.53 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (7.80) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.20) |
Thule Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Thule Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thule Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thule stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Thule Group
The number of cover stories for Thule Group depends on current market conditions and Thule Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thule Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thule Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Thule Group Short Properties
Thule Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thule Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thule Group AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thule Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thule Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 149 M |
Additional Tools for Thule Stock Analysis
When running Thule Group's price analysis, check to measure Thule Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thule Group is operating at the current time. Most of Thule Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thule Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thule Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thule Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.