Up Fintech Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TIGR Stock | USD 8.30 0.11 1.31% |
TIGR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Up Fintech's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Up Fintech's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Up Fintech fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Up Fintech's share price is approaching 39. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Up Fintech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.714 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1914 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0017 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9951 | Wall Street Target Price 14.57 |
Using Up Fintech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Up Fintech Holding from the perspective of Up Fintech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Up Fintech using Up Fintech's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TIGR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Up Fintech's stock price.
Up Fintech Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Up Fintech's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Up Fintech Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Up Fintech's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Up Fintech stock will not fluctuate a lot when Up Fintech's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Up Fintech Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.27.
Up Fintech after-hype prediction price | USD 8.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Up Fintech to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TIGR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Up Fintech Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Up Fintech trading at USD 8.3, that is roughly USD 0.004824 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Up Fintech's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Up Fintech Holding options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 TIGR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Up Fintech's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Up Fintech's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Up Fintech stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Up Fintech's open interest, investors have to compare it to Up Fintech's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Up Fintech is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TIGR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Up Fintech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TIGR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TIGR using various technical indicators. When you analyze TIGR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Up Fintech Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Up Fintech Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIGR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Up Fintech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Up Fintech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Up Fintech | Up Fintech Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Up Fintech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Up Fintech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Up Fintech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.60 and 12.37, respectively. We have considered Up Fintech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Up Fintech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Up Fintech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3571 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.529 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0566 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.2713 |
Predictive Modules for Up Fintech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Up Fintech Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Up Fintech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Up Fintech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Up Fintech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Up Fintech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Up Fintech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Up Fintech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Up Fintech's historical news coverage. Up Fintech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.86 and 11.62, respectively. We have considered Up Fintech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Up Fintech is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Up Fintech Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Up Fintech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Up Fintech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Up Fintech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Up Fintech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.38 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.30 | 8.24 | 2.02 |
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Up Fintech Hype Timeline
Up Fintech Holding is at this time traded for 8.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. TIGR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Up Fintech is about 1601.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.37. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Up Fintech Holding last dividend was issued on the 26th of July 2017. The entity had 1:10 split on the 10th of October 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Up Fintech to cross-verify your projections.Up Fintech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Up Fintech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Up Fintech's future price movements. Getting to know how Up Fintech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Up Fintech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABTC | American Bitcoin Corp | 0.07 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 9.13 | (7.85) | 44.21 | |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings | (0.63) | 7 per month | 1.27 | 0.14 | 3.86 | (2.18) | 8.88 | |
| EIG | Employers Holdings | 0.77 | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.03 | 2.41 | (2.33) | 7.46 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 1.40 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.64 | (5.57) | 14.61 | |
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| QD | Qudian Inc | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.50 | (6.58) | 17.86 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | 1.17 | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.14 | 2.83 | (1.57) | 8.89 | |
| LX | Lexinfintech Holdings | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.32 | (6.65) | 34.72 | |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings | (0.55) | 11 per month | 1.53 | 0.07 | 3.91 | (2.66) | 8.48 | |
| SLRC | SLR Investment Corp | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.50 | (1.73) | 4.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Up Fintech
For every potential investor in TIGR, whether a beginner or expert, Up Fintech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIGR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIGR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Up Fintech's price trends.Up Fintech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Up Fintech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Up Fintech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Up Fintech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Up Fintech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Up Fintech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Up Fintech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Up Fintech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Up Fintech Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.32 |
Up Fintech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Up Fintech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Up Fintech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tigr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.41 | |||
| Variance | 11.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Up Fintech
The number of cover stories for Up Fintech depends on current market conditions and Up Fintech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Up Fintech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Up Fintech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Up Fintech Short Properties
Up Fintech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Up Fintech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Up Fintech Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Up Fintech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Up Fintech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 470.2 M |
Additional Tools for TIGR Stock Analysis
When running Up Fintech's price analysis, check to measure Up Fintech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Up Fintech is operating at the current time. Most of Up Fintech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Up Fintech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Up Fintech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Up Fintech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.