TIM Participacoes Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TIMB Stock  USD 19.91  0.46  2.37%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 19.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.14. TIM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TIM Participacoes stock prices and determine the direction of TIM Participacoes SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TIM Participacoes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of TIM Participacoes' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TIM Participacoes' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TIM Participacoes SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TIM Participacoes' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.563
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4445
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5206
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.7127
Wall Street Target Price
23.3757
Using TIM Participacoes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TIM Participacoes SA from the perspective of TIM Participacoes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TIM Participacoes using TIM Participacoes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TIM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TIM Participacoes' stock price.

TIM Participacoes Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in TIM Participacoes' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards TIM. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of TIM Participacoes stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
19.5618
Short Percent
0.0117
Short Ratio
5.65
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
22.0982

TIM Participacoes Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TIM Participacoes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TIM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TIM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TIM Participacoes SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TIM Participacoes' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TIM Participacoes.

TIM Participacoes Implied Volatility

    
  0.79  
TIM Participacoes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TIM Participacoes SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TIM Participacoes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TIM Participacoes stock will not fluctuate a lot when TIM Participacoes' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 19.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.14.

TIM Participacoes after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIM Participacoes to cross-verify your projections.
At present, TIM Participacoes' Payables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.72, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 25.39. . As of January 3, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 382 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 1.9 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 TIM Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TIM Participacoes' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TIM Participacoes' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TIM Participacoes stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TIM Participacoes' open interest, investors have to compare it to TIM Participacoes' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TIM Participacoes is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TIM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TIM Participacoes Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TIM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TIM using various technical indicators. When you analyze TIM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
TIM Participacoes simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for TIM Participacoes SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as TIM Participacoes prices get older.

TIM Participacoes Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 19.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TIM Participacoes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TIM Participacoes Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TIM ParticipacoesTIM Participacoes Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TIM Participacoes Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TIM Participacoes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TIM Participacoes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.16 and 21.66, respectively. We have considered TIM Participacoes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.91
19.91
Expected Value
21.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TIM Participacoes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TIM Participacoes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.096
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0131
MADMean absolute deviation0.281
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors17.14
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting TIM Participacoes SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent TIM Participacoes observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for TIM Participacoes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIM Participacoes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1919.9421.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9221.9723.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.6920.8423.00
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.2723.3825.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TIM Participacoes

For every potential investor in TIM, whether a beginner or expert, TIM Participacoes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TIM Participacoes' price trends.

TIM Participacoes Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TIM Participacoes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TIM Participacoes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TIM Participacoes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TIM Participacoes Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TIM Participacoes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TIM Participacoes' current price.

TIM Participacoes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TIM Participacoes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TIM Participacoes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TIM Participacoes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TIM Participacoes SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TIM Participacoes Risk Indicators

The analysis of TIM Participacoes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIM Participacoes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether TIM Participacoes offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TIM Participacoes' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tim Participacoes Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tim Participacoes Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIM Participacoes to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TIM Participacoes. If investors know TIM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TIM Participacoes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.563
Dividend Share
0.599
Earnings Share
1.52
Revenue Per Share
54.43
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.046
The market value of TIM Participacoes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TIM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TIM Participacoes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TIM Participacoes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TIM Participacoes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TIM Participacoes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TIM Participacoes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TIM Participacoes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TIM Participacoes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.