Cornish Metals Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TIN Stock   116.00  4.00  3.57%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cornish Metals plc on the next trading day is expected to be 116.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.30. Cornish Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cornish Metals stock prices and determine the direction of Cornish Metals plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cornish Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Cornish Metals' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cornish Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cornish Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cornish Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cornish Metals plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cornish Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cornish Metals plc from the perspective of Cornish Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cornish Metals plc on the next trading day is expected to be 116.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.30.

Cornish Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 112.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cornish Metals to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Cornish Metals' Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 21.3 M, whereas Cash is forecasted to decline to about 5.6 M.

Cornish Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cornish price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cornish using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cornish charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cornish Metals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Cornish Metals plc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cornish Metals plc prices get older.

Cornish Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cornish Metals plc on the next trading day is expected to be 116.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34, mean absolute percentage error of 5.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cornish Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cornish Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cornish Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cornish MetalsCornish Metals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cornish Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cornish Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cornish Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.52 and 118.48, respectively. We have considered Cornish Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
116.00
113.52
Downside
116.00
Expected Value
118.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cornish Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cornish Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9167
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6083
MADMean absolute deviation1.3383
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors80.3
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Cornish Metals plc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cornish Metals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cornish Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cornish Metals plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.52112.00114.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.80122.13124.61
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cornish Metals

For every potential investor in Cornish, whether a beginner or expert, Cornish Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cornish Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cornish. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cornish Metals' price trends.

Cornish Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cornish Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cornish Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cornish Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cornish Metals plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cornish Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cornish Metals' current price.

Cornish Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cornish Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cornish Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cornish Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cornish Metals plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cornish Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cornish Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cornish Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cornish stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Cornish Stock

Cornish Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cornish Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cornish with respect to the benefits of owning Cornish Metals security.