Turkcell Iletisim Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

TKC Stock  USD 6.52  0.14  2.10%   
Turkcell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Turkcell Iletisim stock prices and determine the direction of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Turkcell Iletisim's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Turkcell Iletisim's stock price is about 65. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Turkcell, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Turkcell Iletisim's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Turkcell Iletisim's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
EPS Estimate Current Year
23.591
EPS Estimate Next Year
41.73
Wall Street Target Price
7.4137
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
Using Turkcell Iletisim hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri from the perspective of Turkcell Iletisim response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Turkcell Iletisim using Turkcell Iletisim's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Turkcell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Turkcell Iletisim's stock price.

Turkcell Iletisim Implied Volatility

    
  0.94  
Turkcell Iletisim's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Turkcell Iletisim's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Turkcell Iletisim stock will not fluctuate a lot when Turkcell Iletisim's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri on the next trading day is expected to be 6.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.14.

Turkcell Iletisim after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkcell Iletisim to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Turkcell Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Turkcell Iletisim's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Turkcell Iletisim's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Turkcell Iletisim stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Turkcell Iletisim's open interest, investors have to compare it to Turkcell Iletisim's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Turkcell Iletisim is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Turkcell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Turkcell Iletisim Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Turkcell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Turkcell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Turkcell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Turkcell Iletisim price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Turkcell Iletisim Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri on the next trading day is expected to be 6.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Turkcell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Turkcell Iletisim's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Turkcell Iletisim Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Turkcell Iletisim  Turkcell Iletisim Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Turkcell Iletisim Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Turkcell Iletisim's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Turkcell Iletisim's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.71 and 7.82, respectively. We have considered Turkcell Iletisim's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.52
6.26
Expected Value
7.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Turkcell Iletisim stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Turkcell Iletisim stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3503
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1989
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors12.1353
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Turkcell Iletisim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkcell Iletisim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.146.668.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.057.579.09
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.757.418.23
Details

Turkcell Iletisim After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Turkcell Iletisim at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Turkcell Iletisim or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Turkcell Iletisim, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Turkcell Iletisim Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Turkcell Iletisim's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Turkcell Iletisim's historical news coverage. Turkcell Iletisim's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.14 and 8.18, respectively. We have considered Turkcell Iletisim's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.52
6.66
After-hype Price
8.18
Upside
Turkcell Iletisim is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Turkcell Iletisim is based on 3 months time horizon.

Turkcell Iletisim Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Turkcell Iletisim is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Turkcell Iletisim backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Turkcell Iletisim, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.55
 0.00  
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.52
6.66
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Turkcell Iletisim Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February Turkcell Iletisim is traded for 6.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Turkcell is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Turkcell Iletisim is about 3576.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.51. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Turkcell Iletisim last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. The entity had 11861:10000 split on the 26th of June 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkcell Iletisim to cross-verify your projections.

Turkcell Iletisim Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Turkcell Iletisim's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Turkcell Iletisim's future price movements. Getting to know how Turkcell Iletisim's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Turkcell Iletisim may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Turkcell Iletisim

For every potential investor in Turkcell, whether a beginner or expert, Turkcell Iletisim's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Turkcell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Turkcell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Turkcell Iletisim's price trends.

Turkcell Iletisim Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Turkcell Iletisim stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Turkcell Iletisim could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Turkcell Iletisim by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Turkcell Iletisim Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Turkcell Iletisim stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Turkcell Iletisim shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Turkcell Iletisim stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Turkcell Iletisim Risk Indicators

The analysis of Turkcell Iletisim's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Turkcell Iletisim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting turkcell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Turkcell Iletisim

The number of cover stories for Turkcell Iletisim depends on current market conditions and Turkcell Iletisim's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Turkcell Iletisim is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Turkcell Iletisim's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Turkcell Iletisim Short Properties

Turkcell Iletisim's future price predictability will typically decrease when Turkcell Iletisim's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Turkcell Iletisim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkcell Iletisim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding872.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75.8 B
When determining whether Turkcell Iletisim offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Turkcell Iletisim's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkcell Iletisim to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Wireless Telecommunication Services sector continue expanding? Could Turkcell diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Turkcell Iletisim. If investors know Turkcell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Turkcell Iletisim data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
Earnings Share
0.36
Revenue Per Share
212.2075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
Return On Assets
0.0648
Investors evaluate Turkcell Iletisim using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Turkcell Iletisim's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Turkcell Iletisim's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Turkcell Iletisim's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Turkcell Iletisim is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Turkcell Iletisim's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.