Tokio Marine Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Tokio Marine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tokio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tokio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tokio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Tokio Marine is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tokio Marine Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tokio Marine Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tokio Marine Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 38.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 3.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.98.

Tokio Marine Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Tokio Marine Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tokio Marine pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tokio Marine pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tokio Marine Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tokio Marine. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tokio Marine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokio Marine Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 31.87 38.50 45.13 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 25.18 31.81 42.35 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 35.33 38.59 41.84 Details

Tokio Marine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Tokio Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Tokio Marine Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Tokio Marine Hype Timeline

Tokio Marine Holdings is at this time traded for 38.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tokio is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tokio Marine is about 166000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.50. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.51. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tokio Marine Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.97. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The firm had 3:1 split on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tokio Marine to cross-verify your projections.

Tokio Marine Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Tokio Marine

For every potential investor in Tokio, whether a beginner or expert, Tokio Marine's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tokio Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tokio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tokio Marine's price trends.

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Tokio Marine Market Strength Events

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