Tandy Leather Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TLF Stock | USD 2.83 0.02 0.71% |
Tandy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tandy Leather's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Tandy Leather's share price is at 51. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tandy Leather, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 23.5 | Wall Street Target Price 5.505 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Tandy Leather hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tandy Leather Factory from the perspective of Tandy Leather response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tandy Leather Factory on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38. Tandy Leather after-hype prediction price | USD 2.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tandy Leather to cross-verify your projections. Tandy Leather Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tandy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tandy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tandy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tandy Leather Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tandy Leather Factory on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tandy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tandy Leather's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tandy Leather Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tandy Leather | Tandy Leather Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tandy Leather Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tandy Leather's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tandy Leather's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.01 and 4.66, respectively. We have considered Tandy Leather's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tandy Leather stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tandy Leather stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0404 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3847 |
Predictive Modules for Tandy Leather
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tandy Leather Factory. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tandy Leather After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tandy Leather at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tandy Leather or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tandy Leather, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tandy Leather Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tandy Leather's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tandy Leather's historical news coverage. Tandy Leather's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.01 and 4.65, respectively. We have considered Tandy Leather's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tandy Leather is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tandy Leather Factory is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tandy Leather Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tandy Leather is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tandy Leather backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tandy Leather, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.82 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.83 | 2.83 | 0.00 |
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Tandy Leather Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Tandy Leather Factory is traded for 2.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Tandy is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tandy Leather is about 1300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.82. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.42. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tandy Leather Factory has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 187.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of February 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tandy Leather to cross-verify your projections.Tandy Leather Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tandy Leather's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tandy Leather's future price movements. Getting to know how Tandy Leather's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tandy Leather may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBDS | SBDS | (0.21) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 14.90 | (14.61) | 50.66 | |
| JBDI | JBDI Holdings Limited | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 10.84 | (10.07) | 24.94 | |
| EVGO | Evgo Inc | (0.01) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.77 | (5.03) | 16.24 | |
| LITB | LightInTheBox Holding Co | 0.03 | 6 per month | 5.80 | 0.01 | 13.41 | (9.79) | 30.20 | |
| MOGU | MOGU Inc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.36 | (5.81) | 22.31 | |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | 0.05 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.15 | (5.82) | 12.34 | |
| MI | NFT Limited | 0.01 | 9 per month | 3.73 | 0.01 | 7.41 | (6.98) | 23.69 | |
| FORD | Forward Industries | (1.25) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 14.99 | (12.08) | 84.00 | |
| TBHC | The Brand House | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.79 | (6.52) | 15.74 | |
| REE | Ree Automotive Holding | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.00 | (8.97) | 25.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tandy Leather
For every potential investor in Tandy, whether a beginner or expert, Tandy Leather's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tandy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tandy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tandy Leather's price trends.Tandy Leather Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tandy Leather stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tandy Leather could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tandy Leather by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tandy Leather Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tandy Leather stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tandy Leather shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tandy Leather stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tandy Leather Factory entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tandy Leather Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tandy Leather's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tandy Leather's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tandy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tandy Leather
The number of cover stories for Tandy Leather depends on current market conditions and Tandy Leather's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tandy Leather is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tandy Leather's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tandy Leather Short Properties
Tandy Leather's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tandy Leather's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tandy Leather Factory often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tandy Leather's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tandy Leather's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tandy Leather to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tandy Leather. If investors know Tandy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tandy Leather listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 23.5 | Earnings Share 1.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tandy Leather Factory is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tandy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tandy Leather's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tandy Leather's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tandy Leather's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tandy Leather's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tandy Leather's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tandy Leather is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tandy Leather's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.