Talanx AG OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TLLXY Stock | USD 62.54 1.95 3.02% |
Talanx OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Talanx AG's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Talanx AG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Talanx AG based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Talanx AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Talanx AG from the perspective of Talanx AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Talanx AG on the next trading day is expected to be 62.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81. Talanx AG after-hype prediction price | USD 62.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Talanx |
Talanx AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Talanx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Talanx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Talanx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Talanx AG Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Talanx AG on the next trading day is expected to be 62.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Talanx OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Talanx AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Talanx AG OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Talanx AG | Talanx AG Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Talanx AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Talanx AG's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Talanx AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.85 and 63.23, respectively. We have considered Talanx AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Talanx AG otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Talanx AG otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2446 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0468 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0468 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 7.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.81 |
Predictive Modules for Talanx AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talanx AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Talanx AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Talanx AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Talanx AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Talanx AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Talanx AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Talanx AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Talanx AG's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Talanx AG's historical news coverage. Talanx AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.85 and 63.23, respectively. We have considered Talanx AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Talanx AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Talanx AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Talanx AG OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Talanx AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Talanx AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Talanx AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
62.54 | 62.54 | 0.00 |
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Talanx AG Hype Timeline
Talanx AG is at this time traded for 62.54. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Talanx is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Talanx AG is about 82.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.52. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Talanx AG had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Talanx AG to cross-verify your projections.Talanx AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Talanx AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Talanx AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Talanx AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Talanx AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SZLMY | Swiss Life Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.17 | (2.33) | 7.66 | |
| SWSDF | Swiss Life Holding | (8.40) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.62 | (2.84) | 10.77 | |
| SAXPF | Sampo Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.18 | 0.00 | 8.26 | |
| HVRRY | Hannover Re | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.85 | (1.99) | 5.80 | |
| HVRRF | Hannover Rck SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.32 | (2.53) | 10.17 | |
| MSADF | MSAD Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.14 | 0.05 | 6.91 | (5.98) | 16.23 | |
| DCNSF | Dai ichi Life Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.03 | |
| MSADY | MSAD Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.08 | 2.52 | (2.28) | 5.47 | |
| IFCZF | Intact Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.0007 | 2.35 | (2.13) | 9.02 | |
| PWCDF | Power of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.17 | 1.97 | (1.35) | 4.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Talanx AG
For every potential investor in Talanx, whether a beginner or expert, Talanx AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Talanx OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Talanx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Talanx AG's price trends.Talanx AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Talanx AG otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Talanx AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Talanx AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Talanx AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Talanx AG otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Talanx AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Talanx AG otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Talanx AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 62.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 62.54 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.97) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.95) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.0 |
Talanx AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of Talanx AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Talanx AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting talanx otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1374 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6778 | |||
| Variance | 0.4594 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Talanx AG
The number of cover stories for Talanx AG depends on current market conditions and Talanx AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Talanx AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Talanx AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Talanx AG Short Properties
Talanx AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Talanx AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Talanx AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Talanx AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talanx AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.60 | |
| Float Shares | 106.3M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 26 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 9.05% |
Additional Tools for Talanx OTC Stock Analysis
When running Talanx AG's price analysis, check to measure Talanx AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Talanx AG is operating at the current time. Most of Talanx AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Talanx AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Talanx AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Talanx AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.