Telos Corp Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

TLS Stock  USD 3.32  0.12  3.75%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Telos Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. Telos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Telos Corp's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 5.82 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 6.46 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 65.8 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (45.7 M) in 2024.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Telos Corp is based on an artificially constructed time series of Telos Corp daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Telos Corp 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Telos Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telos Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Telos Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Telos Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Telos Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telos Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.64, respectively. We have considered Telos Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.32
3.34
Expected Value
7.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telos Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telos Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.2228
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.003
MADMean absolute deviation0.2253
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0613
SAESum of the absolute errors11.9425
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Telos Corp 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Telos Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telos Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.327.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.007.30
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.8742.7147.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Telos Corp

For every potential investor in Telos, whether a beginner or expert, Telos Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telos Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telos Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telos Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telos Corp's current price.

Telos Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telos Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telos Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telos Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telos Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telos Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telos Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telos Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Telos Stock Analysis

When running Telos Corp's price analysis, check to measure Telos Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telos Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Telos Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telos Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telos Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telos Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.