Main Thematic Etf Forward View
| TMAT Etf | USD 24.43 0.43 1.73% |
Main Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Main Thematic's share price is approaching 37. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Main Thematic, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Main Thematic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Main Thematic Innovation from the perspective of Main Thematic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Main Thematic using Main Thematic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Main using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Main Thematic's stock price.
Main Thematic Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
Main Thematic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Main Thematic Innovation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Main Thematic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Main Thematic stock will not fluctuate a lot when Main Thematic's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Main Thematic Innovation on the next trading day is expected to be 23.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.47. Main Thematic after-hype prediction price | USD 24.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Main Thematic to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Main contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Main Thematic Innovation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Main Thematic trading at USD 24.43, that is roughly USD 0.005039 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Main Thematic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Main Thematic Innovation options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Main Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Main Thematic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Main Thematic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Main Thematic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Main Thematic's open interest, investors have to compare it to Main Thematic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Main Thematic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Main. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Main Thematic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Main price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Main using various technical indicators. When you analyze Main charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Main Thematic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Main Thematic Innovation on the next trading day is expected to be 23.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Main Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Main Thematic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Main Thematic Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Main Thematic | Main Thematic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Main Thematic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Main Thematic's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Main Thematic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.25 and 25.41, respectively. We have considered Main Thematic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Main Thematic etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Main Thematic etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6998 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4108 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.4708 |
Predictive Modules for Main Thematic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Main Thematic Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Main Thematic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Main Thematic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Main Thematic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Main Thematic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Main Thematic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Main Thematic's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Main Thematic's historical news coverage. Main Thematic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.83 and 25.99, respectively. We have considered Main Thematic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Main Thematic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Main Thematic Innovation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Main Thematic Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Main Thematic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Main Thematic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Main Thematic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.58 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.43 | 24.41 | 0.08 |
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Main Thematic Hype Timeline
Main Thematic Innovation is at this time traded for 24.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Main is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Main Thematic is about 1490.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.41. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Main Thematic to cross-verify your projections.Main Thematic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Main Thematic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Main Thematic's future price movements. Getting to know how Main Thematic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Main Thematic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NAPR | Innovator Nasdaq 100 Power | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.10 | (0.15) | 0.38 | (0.36) | 1.00 | |
| BDEC | Innovator SP 500 | (0.17) | 3 per month | 0.56 | (0.02) | 0.87 | (1.01) | 2.89 | |
| SPUU | Direxion Daily SP | (0.72) | 1 per month | 1.62 | 0.01 | 2.29 | (2.39) | 7.03 | |
| UJUL | Innovator SP 500 | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.19 | (0.12) | 0.41 | (0.39) | 1.30 | |
| GOCT | FT Cboe Vest | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.35 | (0.09) | 0.54 | (0.64) | 1.86 | |
| FDTX | Fidelity Disruptive Technology | (0.54) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.82 | (2.51) | 6.10 | |
| IQSM | Iq Candriam ESG | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.65 | 0.03 | 1.45 | (1.36) | 3.27 | |
| TRFK | Pacer Funds Trust | 0.37 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.00 | (3.34) | 7.97 | |
| TUG | STF Tactical Growth | (0.13) | 6 per month | 1.12 | (0.02) | 1.38 | (1.95) | 5.00 | |
| XDEC | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.11 | (0.12) | 0.40 | (0.27) | 1.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Main Thematic
For every potential investor in Main, whether a beginner or expert, Main Thematic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Main Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Main. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Main Thematic's price trends.Main Thematic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Main Thematic etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Main Thematic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Main Thematic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Main Thematic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Main Thematic etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Main Thematic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Main Thematic etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Main Thematic Innovation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 571.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.70) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.56 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.41) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.43) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.08 |
Main Thematic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Main Thematic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Main Thematic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting main etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Main Thematic
The number of cover stories for Main Thematic depends on current market conditions and Main Thematic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Main Thematic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Main Thematic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Main Thematic to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
The market value of Main Thematic Innovation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main Thematic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main Thematic's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Main Thematic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main Thematic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main Thematic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main Thematic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Main Thematic's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.