TomCo Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TMCGF Stock  USD 0.01  0.01  957.14%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TomCo Energy Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. TomCo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TomCo Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of TomCo Energy's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TomCo Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TomCo Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TomCo Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TomCo Energy Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TomCo Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TomCo Energy Plc from the perspective of TomCo Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TomCo Energy Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

TomCo Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomCo Energy to cross-verify your projections.

TomCo Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TomCo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TomCo using various technical indicators. When you analyze TomCo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
TomCo Energy simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for TomCo Energy Plc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as TomCo Energy Plc prices get older.

TomCo Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TomCo Energy Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0001, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000075, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TomCo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TomCo Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TomCo Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest TomCo EnergyTomCo Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TomCo Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TomCo Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TomCo Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000074 and 119.64, respectively. We have considered TomCo Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.000074
Downside
0.0007
Expected Value
119.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TomCo Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TomCo Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.167
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0067
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting TomCo Energy Plc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent TomCo Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for TomCo Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TomCo Energy Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00170.0010
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TomCo Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TomCo Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TomCo Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TomCo Energy Plc.

TomCo Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TomCo Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TomCo Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of TomCo Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TomCo Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TomCo Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TomCo Energy's historical news coverage. TomCo Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.38, respectively. We have considered TomCo Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
50.38
Upside
TomCo Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TomCo Energy Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

TomCo Energy Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TomCo Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TomCo Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TomCo Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  14.96 
119.64
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
35.14 
0.00  
Notes

TomCo Energy Hype Timeline

TomCo Energy Plc is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TomCo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 35.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 14.96%. The volatility of related hype on TomCo Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. TomCo Energy Plc has accumulated 1.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. TomCo Energy Plc has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TomCo Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TomCo Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TomCo Energy Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TomCo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TomCo Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomCo Energy to cross-verify your projections.

TomCo Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TomCo Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TomCo Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how TomCo Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TomCo Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SDXEFSDX Energy plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TBDYFGordon Creek Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GPIPFWesCan Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0  0.00  0.00  90.55 
TRXOColumbine Valley Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TTLHFTotal Helium 0.00 0 per month 7.47  0.03  25.00 (15.87) 60.51 
MGUYMogul Energy International 0.00 0 per month 9.93  0.05  30.56 (24.39) 90.70 
ERHEERHC Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HRSTHarvest Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  2.04 
GRGUFGrand Gulf Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00 (5.26) 194.69 
CGRACgrowth Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 33.33 (25.00) 66.67 

Other Forecasting Options for TomCo Energy

For every potential investor in TomCo, whether a beginner or expert, TomCo Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TomCo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TomCo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TomCo Energy's price trends.

TomCo Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TomCo Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TomCo Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TomCo Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TomCo Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TomCo Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TomCo Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TomCo Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TomCo Energy Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TomCo Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of TomCo Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TomCo Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tomco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TomCo Energy

The number of cover stories for TomCo Energy depends on current market conditions and TomCo Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TomCo Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TomCo Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in TomCo Pink Sheet

TomCo Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether TomCo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TomCo with respect to the benefits of owning TomCo Energy security.