TMC The Stock Forward View

TMCWW Stock  USD 0.88  0.08  8.33%   
TMC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of TMC The's share price is approaching 40. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TMC The, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TMC The's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TMC The and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TMC The's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TMC the metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TMC The hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TMC the metals from the perspective of TMC The response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TMC the metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52.

TMC The after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMC The to cross-verify your projections.

TMC The Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze TMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the TMC The's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
115.8 M
Current Value
115.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
40.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for TMC The is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TMC the metals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TMC The Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TMC the metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TMC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TMC The's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TMC The Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TMC The  TMC The Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

TMC The Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TMC The's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TMC The's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 14.36, respectively. We have considered TMC The's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.88
0.93
Expected Value
14.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TMC The stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TMC The stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7428
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1396
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0984
SAESum of the absolute errors8.5181
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TMC the metals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TMC The. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TMC The

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TMC the metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TMC The's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.8514.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.8414.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-1.411.043.49
Details

TMC The After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TMC The at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TMC The or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TMC The, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TMC The Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TMC The's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TMC The's historical news coverage. TMC The's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 14.28, respectively. We have considered TMC The's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.88
0.85
After-hype Price
14.28
Upside
TMC The is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TMC the metals is based on 3 months time horizon.

TMC The Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TMC The is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TMC The backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TMC The, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.67 
13.43
  0.03 
  0.05 
10 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.88
0.85
3.41 
33,575  
Notes

TMC The Hype Timeline

TMC the metals is at this time traded for 0.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. TMC is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -3.41%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on TMC The is about 16529.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.93. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.63. TMC the metals had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMC The to cross-verify your projections.

TMC The Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TMC The's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TMC The's future price movements. Getting to know how TMC The's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TMC The may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for TMC The

For every potential investor in TMC, whether a beginner or expert, TMC The's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TMC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TMC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TMC The's price trends.

TMC The Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TMC The stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TMC The could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TMC The by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TMC The Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TMC The stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TMC The shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TMC The stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TMC the metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TMC The Risk Indicators

The analysis of TMC The's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TMC The's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tmc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TMC The

The number of cover stories for TMC The depends on current market conditions and TMC The's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TMC The is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TMC The's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TMC The Short Properties

TMC The's future price predictability will typically decrease when TMC The's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TMC the metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TMC The's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TMC The's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding321.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 M

Additional Tools for TMC Stock Analysis

When running TMC The's price analysis, check to measure TMC The's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TMC The is operating at the current time. Most of TMC The's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TMC The's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TMC The's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TMC The to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.