TMBThanachart Bank Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

TMLF Stock  EUR 0.03  0.01  18.92%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TMBThanachart Bank Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22. TMBThanachart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TMBThanachart Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for TMBThanachart Bank works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

TMBThanachart Bank Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TMBThanachart Bank Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000051, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TMBThanachart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TMBThanachart Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TMBThanachart Bank Stock Forecast Pattern

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TMBThanachart Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TMBThanachart Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TMBThanachart Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 22.89, respectively. We have considered TMBThanachart Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
22.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TMBThanachart Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TMBThanachart Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0037
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1095
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2209
When TMBThanachart Bank Public prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any TMBThanachart Bank Public trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent TMBThanachart Bank observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for TMBThanachart Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TMBThanachart Bank Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0322.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0322.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TMBThanachart Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TMBThanachart Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TMBThanachart Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TMBThanachart Bank Public.

Other Forecasting Options for TMBThanachart Bank

For every potential investor in TMBThanachart, whether a beginner or expert, TMBThanachart Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TMBThanachart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TMBThanachart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TMBThanachart Bank's price trends.

TMBThanachart Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TMBThanachart Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TMBThanachart Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TMBThanachart Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TMBThanachart Bank Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TMBThanachart Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TMBThanachart Bank's current price.

TMBThanachart Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TMBThanachart Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TMBThanachart Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TMBThanachart Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TMBThanachart Bank Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TMBThanachart Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of TMBThanachart Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TMBThanachart Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tmbthanachart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in TMBThanachart Stock

TMBThanachart Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether TMBThanachart Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TMBThanachart with respect to the benefits of owning TMBThanachart Bank security.