TomTom NV Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TMOAF Stock  USD 7.90  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TomTom NV on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.86. TomTom Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TomTom NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of TomTom NV's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TomTom NV's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TomTom NV and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TomTom NV's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TomTom NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TomTom NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TomTom NV from the perspective of TomTom NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TomTom NV on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.86.

TomTom NV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomTom NV to cross-verify your projections.

TomTom NV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TomTom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TomTom using various technical indicators. When you analyze TomTom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for TomTom NV is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of TomTom NV value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

TomTom NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TomTom NV on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TomTom Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TomTom NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TomTom NV Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest TomTom NVTomTom NV Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TomTom NV Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TomTom NV's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TomTom NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.02 and 12.85, respectively. We have considered TomTom NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.90
8.44
Expected Value
12.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TomTom NV pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TomTom NV pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1982
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3256
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.05
SAESum of the absolute errors19.8618
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of TomTom NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict TomTom NV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for TomTom NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TomTom NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.487.9012.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.937.3511.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TomTom NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TomTom NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TomTom NV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TomTom NV.

TomTom NV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TomTom NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TomTom NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of TomTom NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TomTom NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TomTom NV's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TomTom NV's historical news coverage. TomTom NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.48 and 12.32, respectively. We have considered TomTom NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.90
7.90
After-hype Price
12.32
Upside
TomTom NV is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TomTom NV is based on 3 months time horizon.

TomTom NV Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TomTom NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TomTom NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TomTom NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
4.42
  0.01 
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.90
7.90
0.00 
22,100  
Notes

TomTom NV Hype Timeline

TomTom NV is at this time traded for 7.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. TomTom is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on TomTom NV is about 73666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.90. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of TomTom NV was at this time reported as 1.56. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.86. TomTom NV last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. The entity had 9:16 split on the 23rd of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TomTom NV to cross-verify your projections.

TomTom NV Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TomTom NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TomTom NV's future price movements. Getting to know how TomTom NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TomTom NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EGHSFEnghouse Systems Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.62 (3.03) 6.96 
BVSFFBravura Solutions Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ABXXFAbaxx Technologies 0.00 0 per month 3.12  0.12  8.19 (5.22) 29.32 
GBGPFGB Group plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BTRCFBetter Collective AS 0.02 12 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.80 (2.56) 6.47 
WWLNFWorldline SA 0.02 4 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.67  0.00  39.37 
SLUNFSolutions 30 SE 0.02 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CCCMFCancom SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OKIEYOki Electric Industry 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.00  0.00  13.49 
BOYAFBoyaa Interactive International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  39.24 

Other Forecasting Options for TomTom NV

For every potential investor in TomTom, whether a beginner or expert, TomTom NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TomTom Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TomTom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TomTom NV's price trends.

TomTom NV Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TomTom NV pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TomTom NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TomTom NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TomTom NV Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TomTom NV pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TomTom NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TomTom NV pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TomTom NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TomTom NV Risk Indicators

The analysis of TomTom NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TomTom NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tomtom pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TomTom NV

The number of cover stories for TomTom NV depends on current market conditions and TomTom NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TomTom NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TomTom NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TomTom NV Short Properties

TomTom NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when TomTom NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TomTom NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TomTom NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TomTom NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.4 M
Shares Float62.5 M

Other Information on Investing in TomTom Pink Sheet

TomTom NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether TomTom Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TomTom with respect to the benefits of owning TomTom NV security.