Tongcheng Travel Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| TNGCF Stock | USD 2.80 0.00 0.00% |
Tongcheng Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Tongcheng Travel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Tongcheng Travel's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tongcheng Travel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tongcheng Travel Holdings from the perspective of Tongcheng Travel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tongcheng Travel Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Tongcheng Travel after-hype prediction price | USD 2.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tongcheng |
Tongcheng Travel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tongcheng price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tongcheng using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tongcheng charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Tongcheng Travel Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tongcheng Travel Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tongcheng Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tongcheng Travel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tongcheng Travel Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tongcheng Travel | Tongcheng Travel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tongcheng Travel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tongcheng Travel's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tongcheng Travel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.80 and 2.80, respectively. We have considered Tongcheng Travel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tongcheng Travel pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tongcheng Travel pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Tongcheng Travel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tongcheng Travel Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tongcheng Travel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tongcheng Travel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tongcheng Travel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tongcheng Travel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Tongcheng Travel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tongcheng Travel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tongcheng Travel's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tongcheng Travel's historical news coverage. Tongcheng Travel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.80 and 2.80, respectively. We have considered Tongcheng Travel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tongcheng Travel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tongcheng Travel Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tongcheng Travel Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tongcheng Travel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tongcheng Travel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tongcheng Travel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
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Tongcheng Travel Hype Timeline
Tongcheng Travel Holdings is at this time traded for 2.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tongcheng is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tongcheng Travel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.80. About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.32. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tongcheng Travel Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tongcheng Travel to cross-verify your projections.Tongcheng Travel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tongcheng Travel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tongcheng Travel's future price movements. Getting to know how Tongcheng Travel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tongcheng Travel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MB | MasterBeef Group Ordinary | (0.02) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.89 | (9.53) | 35.56 | |
| BARK | BARK Inc | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 10.61 | (5.71) | 30.25 | |
| GDHG | Golden Heaven Group | 0.26 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.83 | (9.24) | 33.65 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | (0.20) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.27 | (7.13) | 49.46 | |
| NOMA | NOMADAR Corp Class | (0.30) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 14.27 | (15.46) | 51.70 | |
| MRNO | Murano Global Investments | (0.03) | 6 per month | 11.63 | 0.01 | 32.35 | (23.18) | 86.79 | |
| SGC | Superior Uniform Group | (0.20) | 6 per month | 2.48 | 0.03 | 5.18 | (4.24) | 12.75 | |
| LAKE | Lakeland Industries | (0.27) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.57 | (4.41) | 43.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tongcheng Travel
For every potential investor in Tongcheng, whether a beginner or expert, Tongcheng Travel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tongcheng Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tongcheng. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tongcheng Travel's price trends.Tongcheng Travel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tongcheng Travel pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tongcheng Travel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tongcheng Travel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tongcheng Travel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tongcheng Travel pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tongcheng Travel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tongcheng Travel pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Tongcheng Travel Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Tongcheng Travel
The number of cover stories for Tongcheng Travel depends on current market conditions and Tongcheng Travel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tongcheng Travel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tongcheng Travel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Tongcheng Pink Sheet
Tongcheng Travel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tongcheng Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tongcheng with respect to the benefits of owning Tongcheng Travel security.