TNL Mediagene Stock Forward View
| TNMG Stock | 3.89 0.21 5.71% |
TNL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TNL Mediagene's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of TNL Mediagene's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TNL Mediagene, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (5.00) | Wall Street Target Price 14 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
Using TNL Mediagene hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary from the perspective of TNL Mediagene response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
TNL Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 3.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.78.TNL Mediagene Ordinary Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TNL Mediagene's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TNL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TNL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TNL Mediagene Ordinary. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TNL Mediagene's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TNL Mediagene.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 3.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.78. TNL Mediagene after-hype prediction price | USD 3.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TNL Mediagene to cross-verify your projections. TNL Mediagene Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TNL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TNL using various technical indicators. When you analyze TNL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TNL Mediagene Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the TNL Mediagene's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 3.3 M | Current Value 2.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 289.4 K |
TNL Mediagene Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TNL Mediagene Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 3.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TNL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TNL Mediagene's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TNL Mediagene Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TNL Mediagene | TNL Mediagene Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TNL Mediagene Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TNL Mediagene's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TNL Mediagene's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 17.79, respectively. We have considered TNL Mediagene's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TNL Mediagene stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TNL Mediagene stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4853 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3406 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0846 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.777 |
Predictive Modules for TNL Mediagene
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TNL Mediagene Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TNL Mediagene After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TNL Mediagene at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TNL Mediagene or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TNL Mediagene, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TNL Mediagene Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TNL Mediagene's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TNL Mediagene's historical news coverage. TNL Mediagene's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 17.80, respectively. We have considered TNL Mediagene's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TNL Mediagene is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TNL Mediagene Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.
TNL Mediagene Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TNL Mediagene is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TNL Mediagene backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TNL Mediagene, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 13.91 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.89 | 3.89 | 0.00 |
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TNL Mediagene Hype Timeline
TNL Mediagene Ordinary is at this time traded for 3.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. TNL is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on TNL Mediagene is about 10867.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.88. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of TNL Mediagene was at this time reported as 27.86. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.84. TNL Mediagene Ordinary had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 23rd of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TNL Mediagene to cross-verify your projections.TNL Mediagene Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TNL Mediagene's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TNL Mediagene's future price movements. Getting to know how TNL Mediagene's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TNL Mediagene may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.11 | (17.27) | 95.20 | |
| FTRK | FAST TRACK GROUP | (0.01) | 4 per month | 7.22 | 0.12 | 18.07 | (11.76) | 48.76 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | (0.01) | 6 per month | 8.32 | (0) | 12.90 | (11.11) | 90.82 | |
| LDWY | Lendway | 0.08 | 8 per month | 5.75 | 0.03 | 13.35 | (11.89) | 40.34 | |
| XHLD | TEN Holdings Common | 0.06 | 6 per month | 9.55 | 0.05 | 22.57 | (16.93) | 204.72 | |
| CPOP | Pop Culture Group | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.14 | (7.50) | 31.15 | |
| PCLA | PicoCELA American Depositary | (2.19) | 5 per month | 8.95 | 0.03 | 8.56 | (17.06) | 228.24 | |
| BAOS | Baosheng Media Group | 0.12 | 17 per month | 3.88 | 0.02 | 8.01 | (6.69) | 44.14 | |
| DKI | DarkIris Class A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 12.82 | (8.57) | 27.80 | |
| KRKR | 36Kr Holdings | 0.55 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.37 | (8.51) | 27.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for TNL Mediagene
For every potential investor in TNL, whether a beginner or expert, TNL Mediagene's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TNL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TNL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TNL Mediagene's price trends.TNL Mediagene Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TNL Mediagene stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TNL Mediagene could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TNL Mediagene by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TNL Mediagene Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TNL Mediagene stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TNL Mediagene shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TNL Mediagene stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TNL Mediagene Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TNL Mediagene Risk Indicators
The analysis of TNL Mediagene's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TNL Mediagene's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tnl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.38 | |||
| Variance | 178.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TNL Mediagene
The number of cover stories for TNL Mediagene depends on current market conditions and TNL Mediagene's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TNL Mediagene is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TNL Mediagene's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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TNL Mediagene Short Properties
TNL Mediagene's future price predictability will typically decrease when TNL Mediagene's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TNL Mediagene Ordinary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TNL Mediagene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TNL Mediagene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TNL Mediagene to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Can Advertising industry sustain growth momentum? Does TNL have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TNL Mediagene. If investors know TNL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating TNL Mediagene demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share (2.84) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
TNL Mediagene Ordinary's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on TNL's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate TNL Mediagene's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since TNL Mediagene's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TNL Mediagene's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TNL Mediagene is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TNL Mediagene's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.