Thai OPP Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TOPP Stock  THB 169.00  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Thai OPP Public on the next trading day is expected to be 169.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.88. Thai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Thai OPP Public is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Thai OPP 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Thai OPP Public on the next trading day is expected to be 169.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34, mean absolute percentage error of 32.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thai OPP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Thai OPP Stock Forecast Pattern

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Thai OPP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Thai OPP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thai OPP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.16 and 296.84, respectively. We have considered Thai OPP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
169.00
169.00
Expected Value
296.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thai OPP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thai OPP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.09
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7478
MADMean absolute deviation1.3427
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors77.875
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Thai OPP. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Thai OPP Public and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Thai OPP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai OPP Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.45169.0017,069
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.06121.1217,021
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Thai OPP

For every potential investor in Thai, whether a beginner or expert, Thai OPP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thai OPP's price trends.

Thai OPP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thai OPP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thai OPP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thai OPP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Thai OPP Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Thai OPP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Thai OPP's current price.

Thai OPP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thai OPP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thai OPP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thai OPP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thai OPP Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thai OPP Risk Indicators

The analysis of Thai OPP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thai OPP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai OPP financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai OPP security.