Top Gum Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TPGM Stock | 1,457 65.00 4.67% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Top Gum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Top Gum Industries from the perspective of Top Gum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Top Gum Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 1,457 with a mean absolute deviation of 23.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,425. Top Gum after-hype prediction price | ILA 1457.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Top |
Top Gum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Top price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Top using various technical indicators. When you analyze Top charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Top Gum Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Top Gum Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 1,457 with a mean absolute deviation of 23.36, mean absolute percentage error of 1,533, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,425.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Top Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Top Gum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Top Gum Stock Forecast Pattern
Top Gum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Top Gum's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Top Gum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,453 and 1,461, respectively. We have considered Top Gum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Top Gum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Top Gum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.4453 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -9.5246 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 23.3574 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0203 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1424.8 |
Predictive Modules for Top Gum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Gum Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Top Gum
For every potential investor in Top, whether a beginner or expert, Top Gum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Top Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Top. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Top Gum's price trends.Top Gum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Top Gum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Top Gum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Top Gum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Top Gum Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Top Gum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Top Gum's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Top Gum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Top Gum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Top Gum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Top Gum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Top Gum Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 29553.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5118 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1455.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1456.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 34.0 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 65.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 71.43 |
Top Gum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Top Gum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Top Gum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting top stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.89 | |||
| Variance | 15.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.