Timothy Plan Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| TPHD Etf | USD 40.33 0.05 0.12% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Timothy Plan High on the next trading day is expected to be 39.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.54. Timothy Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Timothy Plan stock prices and determine the direction of Timothy Plan High's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Timothy Plan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Timothy Plan's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Timothy Plan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Timothy Plan High from the perspective of Timothy Plan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Timothy Plan High on the next trading day is expected to be 39.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.54. Timothy Plan after-hype prediction price | USD 40.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Timothy Plan to cross-verify your projections. Timothy Plan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Timothy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timothy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Timothy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Timothy Plan Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Timothy Plan High on the next trading day is expected to be 39.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Timothy Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Timothy Plan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Timothy Plan Etf Forecast Pattern
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Timothy Plan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Timothy Plan's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Timothy Plan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.99 and 40.48, respectively. We have considered Timothy Plan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Timothy Plan etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Timothy Plan etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2755 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3204 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0083 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.544 |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Plan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Plan High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timothy Plan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Timothy Plan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Timothy Plan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Timothy Plan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Timothy Plan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Timothy Plan's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Timothy Plan's historical news coverage. Timothy Plan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.57 and 41.05, respectively. We have considered Timothy Plan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Timothy Plan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Timothy Plan High is based on 3 months time horizon.
Timothy Plan Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Timothy Plan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timothy Plan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Timothy Plan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.74 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.33 | 40.31 | 0.05 |
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Timothy Plan Hype Timeline
Timothy Plan High is at this time traded for 40.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Timothy is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Timothy Plan is about 1121.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.33. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Timothy Plan to cross-verify your projections.Timothy Plan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Timothy Plan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Timothy Plan's future price movements. Getting to know how Timothy Plan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Timothy Plan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPLC | Timothy Plan LargeMid | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.05) | 1.10 | (1.17) | 3.15 | |
| TPSC | Timothy Plan Small | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.05 | 1.91 | (1.26) | 3.96 | |
| CSB | VictoryShares Small Cap | 0.18 | 1 per month | 0.72 | 0.01 | 1.94 | (1.24) | 3.66 | |
| SMMV | iShares MSCI USA | (0.15) | 3 per month | 0.40 | (0.03) | 0.90 | (0.86) | 2.25 | |
| PALC | Pacer Lunt Large | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.60 | 0.02 | 1.37 | (1.08) | 2.82 | |
| PRAE | Northern Lights | 0.24 | 1 per month | 1.03 | 0.01 | 1.67 | (1.54) | 5.50 | |
| DXUV | Dimensional ETF Trust | 0.09 | 1 per month | 0.62 | 0.02 | 1.43 | (1.39) | 3.56 | |
| JANW | AIM ETF Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.11 | (0.20) | 0.36 | (0.30) | 1.58 | |
| BINV | 2023 ETF Series | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.47 | 0.05 | 1.33 | (0.93) | 3.07 | |
| RWX | SPDR Dow Jones | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.65 | (0.06) | 0.94 | (1.10) | 2.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Timothy Plan
For every potential investor in Timothy, whether a beginner or expert, Timothy Plan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Timothy Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Timothy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Timothy Plan's price trends.Timothy Plan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Timothy Plan etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Timothy Plan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Timothy Plan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Timothy Plan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Timothy Plan etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Timothy Plan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Timothy Plan etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Timothy Plan High entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Timothy Plan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Timothy Plan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Timothy Plan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting timothy etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5545 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5824 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7231 | |||
| Variance | 0.5228 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4965 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3392 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Timothy Plan
The number of cover stories for Timothy Plan depends on current market conditions and Timothy Plan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Timothy Plan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Timothy Plan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Timothy Plan to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
The market value of Timothy Plan High is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timothy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timothy Plan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timothy Plan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timothy Plan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timothy Plan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Plan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Plan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Plan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.