Timothy Plan Etf Forecast - Simple Regression

TPIF Etf  USD 27.16  0.07  0.26%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Timothy Plan International on the next trading day is expected to be 27.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.76. Timothy Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Timothy Plan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Timothy Plan price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Timothy Plan Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Timothy Plan International on the next trading day is expected to be 27.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Timothy Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Timothy Plan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Timothy Plan Etf Forecast Pattern

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Timothy Plan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Timothy Plan's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Timothy Plan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.29 and 27.79, respectively. We have considered Timothy Plan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.16
27.04
Expected Value
27.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Timothy Plan etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Timothy Plan etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1056
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2911
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0104
SAESum of the absolute errors17.76
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Timothy Plan International historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Timothy Plan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Plan Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4127.1627.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6027.3528.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.6727.2527.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Timothy Plan

For every potential investor in Timothy, whether a beginner or expert, Timothy Plan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Timothy Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Timothy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Timothy Plan's price trends.

Timothy Plan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Timothy Plan etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Timothy Plan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Timothy Plan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Timothy Plan Interna Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Timothy Plan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Timothy Plan's current price.

Timothy Plan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Timothy Plan etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Timothy Plan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Timothy Plan etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Timothy Plan International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Timothy Plan Risk Indicators

The analysis of Timothy Plan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Timothy Plan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting timothy etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Timothy Plan Interna is a strong investment it is important to analyze Timothy Plan's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Timothy Plan's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Timothy Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Timothy Plan to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
The market value of Timothy Plan Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timothy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timothy Plan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timothy Plan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timothy Plan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timothy Plan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Plan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Plan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Plan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.