TQR Public Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

TQR Stock  THB 5.10  0.05  0.97%   
TQR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of TQR Public's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TQR Public, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TQR Public's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TQR Public, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TQR Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TQR Public from the perspective of TQR Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TQR Public on the next trading day is expected to be 5.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73.

TQR Public after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 5.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TQR Public to cross-verify your projections.

TQR Public Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TQR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TQR using various technical indicators. When you analyze TQR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through TQR Public price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

TQR Public Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TQR Public on the next trading day is expected to be 5.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TQR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TQR Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TQR Public Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TQR Public  TQR Public Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

TQR Public Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TQR Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TQR Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.92 and 6.09, respectively. We have considered TQR Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.10
5.01
Expected Value
6.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TQR Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TQR Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7789
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0601
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7285
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as TQR Public historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for TQR Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TQR Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.025.106.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.174.255.33
Details

TQR Public After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TQR Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TQR Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TQR Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TQR Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TQR Public's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TQR Public's historical news coverage. TQR Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.02 and 6.18, respectively. We have considered TQR Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.10
5.10
After-hype Price
6.18
Upside
TQR Public is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TQR Public is based on 3 months time horizon.

TQR Public Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TQR Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TQR Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TQR Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.10
5.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

TQR Public Hype Timeline

TQR Public is at this time traded for 5.10on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TQR is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on TQR Public is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.10. About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TQR Public to cross-verify your projections.

TQR Public Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TQR Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TQR Public's future price movements. Getting to know how TQR Public's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TQR Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IFSIFS Capital Public 0.00 0 per month 1.02  0.01  0.99 (1.92) 10.53 
AMANAHAmanah Leasing Public 0.00 0 per month 1.57 (0.02) 4.05 (2.70) 9.79 
CHASEChase Asia PCL 0.00 0 per month 2.21  0.02  4.17 (4.84) 20.21 
THRELThaire Life Assurance 0.00 0 per month 1.72  0.04  2.94 (2.94) 9.48 
MICROMicro Leasing Public 0.00 0 per month 1.49  0.11  3.66 (3.09) 9.52 
THREThai Reinsurance Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.13 (3.03) 19.63 
INSUREIndara Insurance Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 7.04 (7.79) 28.23 
BUIBangkok Union Insurance 0.00 0 per month 0.60  0.08  1.69 (0.86) 6.64 
NKIThe Navakij Insurance 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.32 (6.09) 16.04 
MIDAMida Assets Public 0.00 0 per month 4.10  0.02  14.29 (8.33) 40.18 

Other Forecasting Options for TQR Public

For every potential investor in TQR, whether a beginner or expert, TQR Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TQR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TQR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TQR Public's price trends.

TQR Public Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TQR Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TQR Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TQR Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TQR Public Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TQR Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TQR Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TQR Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TQR Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TQR Public Risk Indicators

The analysis of TQR Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TQR Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tqr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TQR Public

The number of cover stories for TQR Public depends on current market conditions and TQR Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TQR Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TQR Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in TQR Stock

TQR Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether TQR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TQR with respect to the benefits of owning TQR Public security.