ReposiTrak Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TRAK Stock | 10.62 0.13 1.21% |
ReposiTrak Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of ReposiTrak's share price is approaching 30. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ReposiTrak, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ReposiTrak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ReposiTrak from the perspective of ReposiTrak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ReposiTrak on the next trading day is expected to be 10.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.92. ReposiTrak after-hype prediction price | USD 10.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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ReposiTrak Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ReposiTrak price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ReposiTrak using various technical indicators. When you analyze ReposiTrak charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ReposiTrak Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ReposiTrak on the next trading day is expected to be 10.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ReposiTrak Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ReposiTrak's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ReposiTrak Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ReposiTrak | ReposiTrak Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ReposiTrak Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ReposiTrak's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ReposiTrak's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.54 and 12.67, respectively. We have considered ReposiTrak's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ReposiTrak stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ReposiTrak stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3703 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3266 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0252 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.9228 |
Predictive Modules for ReposiTrak
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ReposiTrak. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ReposiTrak After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ReposiTrak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ReposiTrak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ReposiTrak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ReposiTrak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ReposiTrak's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ReposiTrak's historical news coverage. ReposiTrak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.69 and 12.81, respectively. We have considered ReposiTrak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ReposiTrak is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ReposiTrak is based on 3 months time horizon.
ReposiTrak Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ReposiTrak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ReposiTrak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ReposiTrak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.62 | 10.75 | 0.00 |
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ReposiTrak Hype Timeline
ReposiTrak is at this time traded for 10.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. ReposiTrak is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on ReposiTrak is about 8583.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.61. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of ReposiTrak was at this time reported as 2.74. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. ReposiTrak last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 1:50 split on the 11th of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ReposiTrak to cross-verify your projections.ReposiTrak Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ReposiTrak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ReposiTrak's future price movements. Getting to know how ReposiTrak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ReposiTrak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALTS | ALT5 Sigma | (0.05) | 8 per month | 5.98 | 0.03 | 15.07 | (9.81) | 40.07 | |
| OCFT | Oneconnect Financial Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PAYS | Paysign | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.16 | (3.84) | 12.59 | |
| SMRT | SmartRent | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.15 | 0.05 | 5.75 | (4.06) | 21.69 | |
| AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | 0.15 | 9 per month | 5.16 | 0.01 | 7.60 | (7.12) | 25.03 | |
| EGHT | 8x8 Common Stock | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.40 | (4.84) | 34.75 | |
| FRGE | Forge Global Holdings | (0.36) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 11.43 | (0.56) | 69.57 | |
| PERF | Perfect Corp | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.53 | (4.95) | 17.38 | |
| BKTI | BK Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.42 | 0.03 | 5.07 | (5.96) | 20.07 | |
| DGXX | Digi Power X | (0.05) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 11.18 | (12.53) | 46.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for ReposiTrak
For every potential investor in ReposiTrak, whether a beginner or expert, ReposiTrak's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ReposiTrak Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ReposiTrak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ReposiTrak's price trends.ReposiTrak Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ReposiTrak stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ReposiTrak could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ReposiTrak by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ReposiTrak Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ReposiTrak stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ReposiTrak shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ReposiTrak stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ReposiTrak entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2053.36 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.64 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 30.0 |
ReposiTrak Risk Indicators
The analysis of ReposiTrak's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ReposiTrak's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting repositrak stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ReposiTrak
The number of cover stories for ReposiTrak depends on current market conditions and ReposiTrak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ReposiTrak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ReposiTrak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ReposiTrak Short Properties
ReposiTrak's future price predictability will typically decrease when ReposiTrak's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ReposiTrak often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ReposiTrak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ReposiTrak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ReposiTrak to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy ReposiTrak Stock please use our How to buy in ReposiTrak Stock guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ReposiTrak. If investors know ReposiTrak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive ReposiTrak assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of ReposiTrak is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ReposiTrak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ReposiTrak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ReposiTrak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ReposiTrak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ReposiTrak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ReposiTrak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ReposiTrak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, ReposiTrak's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.