VanEck Global Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

TRET Etf  EUR 41.59  0.12  0.29%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VanEck Global Real on the next trading day is expected to be 41.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.64. VanEck Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for VanEck Global Real is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

VanEck Global 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VanEck Global Real on the next trading day is expected to be 41.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VanEck Global Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest VanEck GlobalVanEck Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VanEck Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VanEck Global's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.42 and 41.83, respectively. We have considered VanEck Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.59
41.12
Expected Value
41.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Global etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Global etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.1567
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0622
MADMean absolute deviation0.3621
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors20.6375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of VanEck Global. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for VanEck Global Real and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for VanEck Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Global Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7641.4742.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.4941.2041.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.7840.6441.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Global

For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Global's price trends.

VanEck Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Global etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VanEck Global Real Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VanEck Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VanEck Global's current price.

VanEck Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Global etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Global etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Global Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VanEck Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of VanEck Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Other Information on Investing in VanEck Etf

VanEck Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether VanEck Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VanEck with respect to the benefits of owning VanEck Global security.