Transatlantic Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TRRGF Stock  USD 0.06  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Transatlantic Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Transatlantic Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Transatlantic Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Transatlantic Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Transatlantic Mining Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Transatlantic Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Transatlantic Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Transatlantic Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Transatlantic Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Transatlantic Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Transatlantic Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Transatlantic Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Transatlantic Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 2.45, respectively. We have considered Transatlantic Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.06
0.0006
Downside
0.07
Expected Value
2.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Transatlantic Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Transatlantic Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.2408
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0018
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0253
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1083
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Transatlantic Mining Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Transatlantic Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Transatlantic Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transatlantic Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.062.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.052.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transatlantic Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transatlantic Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transatlantic Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Transatlantic Mining Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Transatlantic Mining

For every potential investor in Transatlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Transatlantic Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Transatlantic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Transatlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Transatlantic Mining's price trends.

Transatlantic Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Transatlantic Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Transatlantic Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transatlantic Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Transatlantic Mining Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Transatlantic Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Transatlantic Mining's current price.

Transatlantic Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Transatlantic Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Transatlantic Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Transatlantic Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Transatlantic Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Transatlantic Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Transatlantic Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Transatlantic Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting transatlantic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Transatlantic Pink Sheet

Transatlantic Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transatlantic Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transatlantic with respect to the benefits of owning Transatlantic Mining security.