Red Light OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TRUFF Stock | USD 0.01 0 6.25% |
Red OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Red Light's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Red Light's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Red Light, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Red Light based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Red Light hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red Light Holland from the perspective of Red Light response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Red Light Holland on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. Red Light after-hype prediction price | USD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Red |
Red Light Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Red Light Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Red Light Holland on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000173, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Red OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Red Light's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Red Light OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Red Light | Red Light Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Red Light Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Red Light's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Red Light's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 7.66, respectively. We have considered Red Light's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Red Light otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Red Light otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.0046 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0543 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0611 |
Predictive Modules for Red Light
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red Light Holland. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Red Light After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Red Light at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Red Light or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Red Light, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Red Light Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Red Light's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Red Light's historical news coverage. Red Light's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.67, respectively. We have considered Red Light's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Red Light is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Red Light Holland is based on 3 months time horizon.
Red Light OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Red Light is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Red Light backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Red Light, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 7.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.02 | 33.33 |
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Red Light Hype Timeline
Red Light Holland is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Red is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 33.33%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Red Light is about 64070.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. Red Light Holland has accumulated 1.54 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Red Light Holland has a current ratio of 8.97, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Red Light until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Red Light's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Red Light Holland sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Red to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Red Light's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red Light to cross-verify your projections.Red Light Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Red Light's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Red Light's future price movements. Getting to know how Red Light's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Red Light may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EGRX | Eagle Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 3 per month | 17.90 | 0.12 | 50.00 | (37.60) | 191.18 | |
| MCUJF | Medicure | 0.12 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 5.62 | (3.23) | 33.09 | |
| BLMH | Blum Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.80 | (9.09) | 39.54 | |
| ECGS | Eco Growth Strategies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 36.00 | (27.69) | 153.46 | |
| CNFHF | CanaFarma Hemp Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDBIF | Medibio Limited | (0.0006) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.08 | |
| BGXX | Bright Green Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UNVC | Univec Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.12 | 0.01 | 12.90 | (11.76) | 44.23 | |
| MMJJF | MMJ Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | (0.47) | 14.08 | |
| UDOCF | Unidoc Health Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 15.38 | (15.38) | 48.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Red Light
For every potential investor in Red, whether a beginner or expert, Red Light's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Red OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Red. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Red Light's price trends.Red Light Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Red Light otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Red Light could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Light by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Red Light Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Red Light otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Red Light shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Red Light otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Red Light Holland entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Red Light Risk Indicators
The analysis of Red Light's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Red Light's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting red otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.59 | |||
| Variance | 57.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Red Light
The number of cover stories for Red Light depends on current market conditions and Red Light's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red Light is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red Light's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Red Light Short Properties
Red Light's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red Light's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red Light Holland often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red Light's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Light's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 363.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 352.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Red OTC Stock
Red Light financial ratios help investors to determine whether Red OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Red with respect to the benefits of owning Red Light security.