Telesat Corp Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TSAT Stock | USD 28.72 1.43 4.74% |
Telesat Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Telesat Corp's share price is approaching 46. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telesat Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Wall Street Target Price 19.04 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) |
Using Telesat Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telesat Corp from the perspective of Telesat Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Telesat Corp using Telesat Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Telesat using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Telesat Corp's stock price.
Telesat Corp Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Telesat Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Telesat Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Telesat Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Telesat Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Telesat Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Telesat Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.19. Telesat Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 27.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telesat Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Telesat contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Telesat Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Telesat Corp trading at USD 28.72, that is roughly USD 0.0167 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Telesat Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Telesat Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Telesat Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Telesat Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Telesat Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Telesat Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Telesat Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Telesat Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Telesat Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Telesat. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Telesat Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Telesat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telesat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telesat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Telesat Corp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Telesat Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telesat Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telesat Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Telesat Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Telesat Corp | Telesat Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Telesat Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Telesat Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telesat Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.43 and 33.78, respectively. We have considered Telesat Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telesat Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telesat Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2133 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1897 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0408 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.1921 |
Predictive Modules for Telesat Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telesat Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telesat Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Telesat Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telesat Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telesat Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Telesat Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Telesat Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telesat Corp's historical news coverage. Telesat Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.80 and 33.14, respectively. We have considered Telesat Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Telesat Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telesat Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Telesat Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telesat Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telesat Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telesat Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 5.17 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 33 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 33 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.72 | 27.97 | 0.04 |
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Telesat Corp Hype Timeline
Telesat Corp is at this time traded for 28.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Telesat is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Telesat Corp is about 1353.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.70. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Telesat Corp recorded a loss per share of 8.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 33 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telesat Corp to cross-verify your projections.Telesat Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Telesat Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telesat Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Telesat Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telesat Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLFD | Clearfield | (1.40) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.69 | (4.70) | 11.69 | |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics | (2.25) | 8 per month | 3.22 | 0.11 | 8.80 | (5.47) | 34.92 | |
| SOHU | SohuCom | (0.20) | 7 per month | 1.76 | 0.07 | 4.46 | (2.72) | 12.14 | |
| GRRR | Gorilla Technology Group | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 9.43 | (7.66) | 19.51 | |
| DDI | Doubledown Interactive Co | (0.1) | 6 per month | 2.03 | (0.02) | 3.09 | (2.65) | 10.09 | |
| BKKT | Bakkt Holdings | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 12.23 | (13.07) | 55.99 | |
| BGIN | Bgin Blockchain Limited | 0.26 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.71 | (9.71) | 29.07 | |
| XRX | Xerox Corp | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.52 | (7.72) | 22.00 | |
| LAW | CS Disco LLC | (0.50) | 8 per month | 2.83 | 0.03 | 7.67 | (4.64) | 22.04 | |
| IMXI | International Money Express | 0.00 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.41 | (0.33) | 1.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for Telesat Corp
For every potential investor in Telesat, whether a beginner or expert, Telesat Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telesat Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telesat. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telesat Corp's price trends.Telesat Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telesat Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telesat Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telesat Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Telesat Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telesat Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telesat Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telesat Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telesat Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Telesat Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Telesat Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telesat Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telesat stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.07 | |||
| Variance | 25.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Telesat Corp
The number of cover stories for Telesat Corp depends on current market conditions and Telesat Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telesat Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telesat Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Telesat Corp Short Properties
Telesat Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telesat Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telesat Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telesat Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telesat Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 552.6 M |
Additional Tools for Telesat Stock Analysis
When running Telesat Corp's price analysis, check to measure Telesat Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telesat Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Telesat Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telesat Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telesat Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telesat Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.