GraniteShares 175x Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TSLR Etf | 25.42 2.13 7.73% |
GraniteShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of GraniteShares 175x's share price is approaching 40. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GraniteShares 175x, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using GraniteShares 175x hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GraniteShares 175x Long from the perspective of GraniteShares 175x response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GraniteShares 175x using GraniteShares 175x's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GraniteShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GraniteShares 175x's stock price.
GraniteShares 175x Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
GraniteShares 175x's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GraniteShares 175x Long stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GraniteShares 175x's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GraniteShares 175x stock will not fluctuate a lot when GraniteShares 175x's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GraniteShares 175x Long on the next trading day is expected to be 25.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.90. GraniteShares 175x after-hype prediction price | USD 27.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GraniteShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GraniteShares 175x Long will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0788% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With GraniteShares 175x trading at USD 25.42, that is roughly USD 0.02 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GraniteShares 175x's daily price movement you should consider acquiring GraniteShares 175x Long options at the current volatility level of 1.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 GraniteShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GraniteShares 175x's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GraniteShares 175x's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GraniteShares 175x stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GraniteShares 175x's open interest, investors have to compare it to GraniteShares 175x's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GraniteShares 175x is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GraniteShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
GraniteShares 175x Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GraniteShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GraniteShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze GraniteShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GraniteShares 175x Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GraniteShares 175x Long on the next trading day is expected to be 25.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25, mean absolute percentage error of 2.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GraniteShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GraniteShares 175x's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GraniteShares 175x Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GraniteShares 175x | GraniteShares 175x Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GraniteShares 175x Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GraniteShares 175x's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GraniteShares 175x's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.33 and 30.51, respectively. We have considered GraniteShares 175x's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GraniteShares 175x etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GraniteShares 175x etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2006 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1243 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2483 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0407 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.9 |
Predictive Modules for GraniteShares 175x
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares 175x Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GraniteShares 175x After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GraniteShares 175x at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GraniteShares 175x or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of GraniteShares 175x, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GraniteShares 175x Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GraniteShares 175x's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GraniteShares 175x's historical news coverage. GraniteShares 175x's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.98 and 32.16, respectively. We have considered GraniteShares 175x's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GraniteShares 175x is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GraniteShares 175x Long is based on 3 months time horizon.
GraniteShares 175x Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as GraniteShares 175x is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GraniteShares 175x backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GraniteShares 175x, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 5.09 | 0.48 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.42 | 27.07 | 1.74 |
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GraniteShares 175x Hype Timeline
GraniteShares 175x Long is at this time traded for 25.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. GraniteShares is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 178.6%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.74%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on GraniteShares 175x is about 3221.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.45. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GraniteShares 175x to cross-verify your projections.GraniteShares 175x Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GraniteShares 175x's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GraniteShares 175x's future price movements. Getting to know how GraniteShares 175x's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GraniteShares 175x may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLCG | Federated Hermes ETF | 0.21 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.24 | (1.97) | 4.43 | |
| FLV | American Century ETF | 0.14 | 2 per month | 0.27 | 0.17 | 1.19 | (1.01) | 2.75 | |
| ASLV | Allspring Exchange Traded Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.09 | 1.26 | (1.02) | 3.41 | |
| NANC | Unusual Whales Subversive | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.22 | (1.80) | 4.28 | |
| DUBS | Aptus Large Cap | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.83 | (0.05) | 0.92 | (1.27) | 4.34 | |
| KBA | KraneShares Bosera MSCI | 0.18 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.39 | (1.35) | 3.05 | |
| PPIE | Putnam ETF Trust | 0.19 | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.07 | 1.23 | (1.45) | 3.40 | |
| DINT | Davis Select International | 0.36 | 3 per month | 0.92 | 0.02 | 1.46 | (1.75) | 4.41 | |
| GAPR | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.25 | (0.20) | 0.73 | |
| FXG | First Trust Consumer | 0.36 | 6 per month | 0.55 | 0.08 | 1.35 | (1.01) | 3.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for GraniteShares 175x
For every potential investor in GraniteShares, whether a beginner or expert, GraniteShares 175x's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GraniteShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GraniteShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GraniteShares 175x's price trends.GraniteShares 175x Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GraniteShares 175x etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GraniteShares 175x could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GraniteShares 175x by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GraniteShares 175x Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GraniteShares 175x etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GraniteShares 175x shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GraniteShares 175x etf market strength indicators, traders can identify GraniteShares 175x Long entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.13) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.01 |
GraniteShares 175x Risk Indicators
The analysis of GraniteShares 175x's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GraniteShares 175x's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting graniteshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.43 | |||
| Variance | 29.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GraniteShares 175x
The number of cover stories for GraniteShares 175x depends on current market conditions and GraniteShares 175x's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GraniteShares 175x is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GraniteShares 175x's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GraniteShares 175x to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
The market value of GraniteShares 175x Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares 175x's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares 175x's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because GraniteShares 175x's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares 175x's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares 175x's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares 175x is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, GraniteShares 175x's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.