2Seventy Bio Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

TSVT Stock  USD 3.99  0.03  0.76%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 2Seventy Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 3.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.59. 2Seventy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, 2Seventy Bio's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 9.74 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 1.51 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 32.7 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (240.2 M) in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for 2Seventy Bio works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

2Seventy Bio Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 2Seventy Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 3.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 2Seventy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 2Seventy Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

2Seventy Bio Stock Forecast Pattern

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2Seventy Bio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 2Seventy Bio's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 2Seventy Bio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.13, respectively. We have considered 2Seventy Bio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.99
3.95
Expected Value
8.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 2Seventy Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 2Seventy Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0332
MADMean absolute deviation0.1432
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0325
SAESum of the absolute errors8.59
When 2Seventy Bio prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any 2Seventy Bio trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent 2Seventy Bio observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for 2Seventy Bio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 2Seventy Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 2Seventy Bio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.204.018.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.897.0411.19
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.0216.5018.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.18-0.18-0.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for 2Seventy Bio

For every potential investor in 2Seventy, whether a beginner or expert, 2Seventy Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 2Seventy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 2Seventy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 2Seventy Bio's price trends.

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2Seventy Bio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 2Seventy Bio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 2Seventy Bio's current price.

2Seventy Bio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 2Seventy Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 2Seventy Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 2Seventy Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 2Seventy Bio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

2Seventy Bio Risk Indicators

The analysis of 2Seventy Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 2Seventy Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 2seventy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for 2Seventy Stock Analysis

When running 2Seventy Bio's price analysis, check to measure 2Seventy Bio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 2Seventy Bio is operating at the current time. Most of 2Seventy Bio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 2Seventy Bio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 2Seventy Bio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 2Seventy Bio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.