TTW Public Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

TTAPY Stock  USD 15.12  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TTW Public on the next trading day is expected to be 15.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55. TTW Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of TTW Public's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TTW Public's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TTW Public, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using TTW Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TTW Public from the perspective of TTW Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TTW Public on the next trading day is expected to be 15.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55.

TTW Public after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TTW Public to cross-verify your projections.

TTW Public Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TTW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TTW using various technical indicators. When you analyze TTW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through TTW Public price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

TTW Public Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TTW Public on the next trading day is expected to be 15.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TTW Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TTW Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TTW Public Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest TTW PublicTTW Public Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TTW Public Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TTW Public's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TTW Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.20 and 16.67, respectively. We have considered TTW Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.12
15.43
Expected Value
16.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TTW Public pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TTW Public pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2852
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2057
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors12.5464
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as TTW Public historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for TTW Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TTW Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8915.1216.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9314.1615.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.9714.8315.68
Details

TTW Public After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TTW Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TTW Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of TTW Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TTW Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TTW Public's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TTW Public's historical news coverage. TTW Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.89 and 16.35, respectively. We have considered TTW Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.12
15.12
After-hype Price
16.35
Upside
TTW Public is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TTW Public is based on 3 months time horizon.

TTW Public Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TTW Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TTW Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TTW Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.23
 0.00  
  0.05 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.12
15.12
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

TTW Public Hype Timeline

TTW Public is at this time traded for 15.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. TTW is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on TTW Public is about 508.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.17. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 3.49. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 580.73. TTW Public last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TTW Public to cross-verify your projections.

TTW Public Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TTW Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TTW Public's future price movements. Getting to know how TTW Public's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TTW Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AHWSFAthens Water Supply 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CWAFFChina Water Affairs 0.62 3 per month 0.00 (0.33) 0.00 (1.30) 5.56 
SEYMFSOLARIA ENERGIA Y 1.00 13 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MSEXMiddlesex Water 0.09 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.76 (3.32) 16.11 
STECFScatec ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  0.00  34.04 
ASCOFAscopiave SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BOTRFChina Everbright Water 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.00  0.00  45.00 
SUUIFSuperior Plus Corp 0.62 3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.92 (2.29) 24.40 
VLTAFVoltalia SA 0.09 8 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  16.69 
MWTCYManila Water 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for TTW Public

For every potential investor in TTW, whether a beginner or expert, TTW Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TTW Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TTW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TTW Public's price trends.

TTW Public Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TTW Public pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TTW Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TTW Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TTW Public Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TTW Public pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TTW Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TTW Public pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TTW Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TTW Public Risk Indicators

The analysis of TTW Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TTW Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ttw pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TTW Public

The number of cover stories for TTW Public depends on current market conditions and TTW Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TTW Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TTW Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for TTW Pink Sheet Analysis

When running TTW Public's price analysis, check to measure TTW Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TTW Public is operating at the current time. Most of TTW Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TTW Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TTW Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TTW Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.