TTEC Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
TTEC Stock | USD 4.81 0.33 7.37% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TTEC Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.71. TTEC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TTEC Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of TTEC Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TTEC Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
TTEC |
TTEC Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TTEC Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TTEC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TTEC Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TTEC Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
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TTEC Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TTEC Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TTEC Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 11.41, respectively. We have considered TTEC Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TTEC Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TTEC Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7953 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0092 |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1618 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.032 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.71 |
Predictive Modules for TTEC Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TTEC Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TTEC Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for TTEC Holdings
For every potential investor in TTEC, whether a beginner or expert, TTEC Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TTEC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TTEC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TTEC Holdings' price trends.TTEC Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TTEC Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TTEC Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TTEC Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
TTEC Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TTEC Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TTEC Holdings' current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
TTEC Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TTEC Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TTEC Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TTEC Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TTEC Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TTEC Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of TTEC Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TTEC Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ttec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 3.75 | |||
Semi Deviation | 3.23 | |||
Standard Deviation | 6.87 | |||
Variance | 47.14 | |||
Downside Variance | 12.32 | |||
Semi Variance | 10.43 | |||
Expected Short fall | (5.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether TTEC Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TTEC Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ttec Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ttec Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TTEC Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade TTEC Stock refer to our How to Trade TTEC Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TTEC Holdings. If investors know TTEC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TTEC Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Dividend Share 0.06 | Earnings Share (7.00) | Revenue Per Share 47.676 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of TTEC Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TTEC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TTEC Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TTEC Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TTEC Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TTEC Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TTEC Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TTEC Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TTEC Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.