T2 Biosystems Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

TTOO Stock  USD 0.0004  0  81.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of T2 Biosystems on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. TTOO Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of T2 Biosystems' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of T2 Biosystems' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with T2 Biosystems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using T2 Biosystems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of T2 Biosystems from the perspective of T2 Biosystems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of T2 Biosystems on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.

T2 Biosystems after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of T2 Biosystems to cross-verify your projections.

T2 Biosystems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TTOO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TTOO using various technical indicators. When you analyze TTOO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for T2 Biosystems is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of T2 Biosystems value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

T2 Biosystems Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of T2 Biosystems on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000053, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TTOO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that T2 Biosystems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

T2 Biosystems Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest T2 BiosystemsT2 Biosystems Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

T2 Biosystems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting T2 Biosystems' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. T2 Biosystems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 132.71, respectively. We have considered T2 Biosystems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0
Expected Value
132.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of T2 Biosystems pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent T2 Biosystems pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.9625
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0016
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4293
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0966
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of T2 Biosystems. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict T2 Biosystems. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for T2 Biosystems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as T2 Biosystems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000450.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000450.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.00210.010.02
Details

T2 Biosystems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of T2 Biosystems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in T2 Biosystems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of T2 Biosystems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

T2 Biosystems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting T2 Biosystems' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on T2 Biosystems' historical news coverage. T2 Biosystems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.02, respectively. We have considered T2 Biosystems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0004
0.0004
After-hype Price
50.02
Upside
T2 Biosystems is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of T2 Biosystems is based on 3 months time horizon.

T2 Biosystems Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as T2 Biosystems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading T2 Biosystems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with T2 Biosystems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  15.39 
132.71
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0004
0.0004
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

T2 Biosystems Hype Timeline

T2 Biosystems is at this time traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TTOO is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 15.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on T2 Biosystems is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. T2 Biosystems had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:100 split on the 13th of October 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of T2 Biosystems to cross-verify your projections.

T2 Biosystems Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to T2 Biosystems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict T2 Biosystems' future price movements. Getting to know how T2 Biosystems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how T2 Biosystems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TEVNFTevano Systems Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PDMIParadigm Medical Ind 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LFCOFLift Co Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MDINNorthstar Global Business 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RASPRasna Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  87.50 
IPIXInnovation Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 16.47  0.04  42.86 (30.00) 162.38 
AOXGAoxing Pharmaceutical 0.00 0 per month 11.99  0.10  33.33 (25.00) 138.93 
CHNXFChitogenX 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  590.91 
GRVEGroove Botanicals 0.00 0 per month 6.06  0.14  31.15 (12.37) 183.29 
WSNAFWesana Health Holdings 0.00 0 per month 22.83  0.13  81.82 (41.46) 194.30 

Other Forecasting Options for T2 Biosystems

For every potential investor in TTOO, whether a beginner or expert, T2 Biosystems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TTOO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TTOO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying T2 Biosystems' price trends.

T2 Biosystems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with T2 Biosystems pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of T2 Biosystems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing T2 Biosystems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

T2 Biosystems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how T2 Biosystems pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading T2 Biosystems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying T2 Biosystems pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify T2 Biosystems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

T2 Biosystems Risk Indicators

The analysis of T2 Biosystems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in T2 Biosystems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ttoo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for T2 Biosystems

The number of cover stories for T2 Biosystems depends on current market conditions and T2 Biosystems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that T2 Biosystems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about T2 Biosystems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

T2 Biosystems Short Properties

T2 Biosystems' future price predictability will typically decrease when T2 Biosystems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of T2 Biosystems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential T2 Biosystems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. T2 Biosystems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.7 M

Other Information on Investing in TTOO Pink Sheet

T2 Biosystems financial ratios help investors to determine whether TTOO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TTOO with respect to the benefits of owning T2 Biosystems security.