Take Two Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TTWO Stock | USD 245.73 4.63 1.92% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Take Two Interactive Software on the next trading day is expected to be 240.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.91. Take Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Take Two's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Take Two's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Take Two fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Take Two's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.93) | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.7548 | Wall Street Target Price 277.9517 |
Using Take Two hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Take Two Interactive Software from the perspective of Take Two response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Take Two using Take Two's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Take using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Take Two's stock price.
Take Two Short Interest
An investor who is long Take Two may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Take Two and may potentially protect profits, hedge Take Two with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 238.5924 | Short Percent 0.0519 | Short Ratio 6.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.6 M | 50 Day MA 245.457 |
Take Two Interactive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Take Two's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Take. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Take can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Take Two Interactive Software. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Take Two Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Take Two's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Take Two Interactive Software stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Take Two's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Take Two stock will not fluctuate a lot when Take Two's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Take Two Interactive Software on the next trading day is expected to be 240.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.91. Take Two after-hype prediction price | USD 245.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Take Two to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Take contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Take Two Interactive Software will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Take Two trading at USD 245.73, that is roughly USD 0.0722 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Take Two's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Take Two Interactive Software options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Take Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Take Two's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Take Two's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Take Two stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Take Two's open interest, investors have to compare it to Take Two's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Take Two is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Take. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Take Two Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Take price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Take using various technical indicators. When you analyze Take charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Take Two Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Take Two's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1997-03-31 | Previous Quarter 2 B | Current Value 1.9 B | Quarterly Volatility 493.4 M |
Take Two Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Take Two Interactive Software on the next trading day is expected to be 240.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.80, mean absolute percentage error of 20.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Take Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Take Two's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Take Two Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Take Two | Take Two Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Take Two Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Take Two's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Take Two's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 238.89 and 242.01, respectively. We have considered Take Two's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Take Two stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Take Two stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1331 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.8017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 231.9063 |
Predictive Modules for Take Two
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Take Two Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Take Two's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Take Two After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Take Two at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Take Two or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Take Two, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Take Two Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Take Two's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Take Two's historical news coverage. Take Two's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 244.16 and 247.30, respectively. We have considered Take Two's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Take Two is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Take Two Interactive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Take Two Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Take Two is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Take Two backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Take Two, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.56 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
245.73 | 245.73 | 0.00 |
|
Take Two Hype Timeline
Take Two Interactive is at this time traded for 245.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Take is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 53.06%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Take Two is about 1147.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 245.74. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.82. Take Two Interactive recorded a loss per share of 22.78. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 12th of April 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Take Two to cross-verify your projections.Take Two Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Take Two's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Take Two's future price movements. Getting to know how Take Two's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Take Two may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EA | Electronic Arts | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.31 | (0.23) | 0.80 | |
| GRMN | Garmin | (4.34) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.07 | (2.42) | 12.54 | |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | 11.42 | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0 | 3.91 | (4.47) | 14.52 | |
| XYZ | Block Inc | (1.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.96 | (5.03) | 14.15 | |
| UI | Ubiquiti Networks | 0.08 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.19 | (4.07) | 22.82 | |
| STX | Seagate Technology PLC | 0.08 | 30 per month | 3.26 | 0.16 | 6.87 | (6.71) | 26.83 | |
| ZS | Zscaler | (0.37) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.83 | (4.14) | 16.56 | |
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV | (0.18) | 6 per month | 1.82 | 0.02 | 3.89 | (3.09) | 12.56 | |
| WDC | Western Digital | (1.80) | 8 per month | 3.02 | 0.22 | 8.75 | (5.90) | 25.65 | |
| DDOG | Datadog | (2.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.43 | (3.52) | 32.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Take Two
For every potential investor in Take, whether a beginner or expert, Take Two's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Take Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Take. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Take Two's price trends.Take Two Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Take Two stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Take Two could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Take Two by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Take Two Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Take Two stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Take Two shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Take Two stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Take Two Interactive Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Take Two Risk Indicators
The analysis of Take Two's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Take Two's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting take stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Take Two
The number of cover stories for Take Two depends on current market conditions and Take Two's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Take Two is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Take Two's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Take Two Short Properties
Take Two's future price predictability will typically decrease when Take Two's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Take Two Interactive Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Take Two's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Take Two's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Take Two to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Take Two. If investors know Take will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Take Two listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share (22.78) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.311 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Take Two Interactive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Take that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Take Two's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Take Two's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Take Two's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Take Two's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Take Two's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Take Two is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Take Two's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.