TUGA Innovations Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TUGAF Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
TUGA Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of TUGA Innovations' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of TUGA Innovations' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TUGA Innovations hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TUGA Innovations from the perspective of TUGA Innovations response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TUGA Innovations on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. TUGA Innovations after-hype prediction price | USD 0.006077 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TUGA |
TUGA Innovations Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TUGA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TUGA using various technical indicators. When you analyze TUGA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TUGA Innovations Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TUGA Innovations on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000635, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TUGA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TUGA Innovations' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TUGA Innovations Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TUGA Innovations | TUGA Innovations Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
TUGA Innovations Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TUGA Innovations' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TUGA Innovations' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00005 and 27.73, respectively. We have considered TUGA Innovations' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TUGA Innovations pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TUGA Innovations pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0421 |
Predictive Modules for TUGA Innovations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TUGA Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TUGA Innovations After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TUGA Innovations at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TUGA Innovations or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of TUGA Innovations, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TUGA Innovations Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TUGA Innovations' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TUGA Innovations' historical news coverage. TUGA Innovations' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 27.73, respectively. We have considered TUGA Innovations' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TUGA Innovations is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TUGA Innovations is based on 3 months time horizon.
TUGA Innovations Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TUGA Innovations is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TUGA Innovations backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TUGA Innovations, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.31 | 27.72 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 21.54 |
|
TUGA Innovations Hype Timeline
TUGA Innovations is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.49. TUGA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.006077 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 21.54%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.31%. The volatility of related hype on TUGA Innovations is about 7471.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.48. The company has a current ratio of 4.12, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TUGA Innovations until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TUGA Innovations' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TUGA Innovations sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TUGA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TUGA Innovations' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TUGA Innovations to cross-verify your projections.TUGA Innovations Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TUGA Innovations' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TUGA Innovations' future price movements. Getting to know how TUGA Innovations' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TUGA Innovations may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGAC | Code Green Apparel | (2.29) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| STHI | Sprout Tiny Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.19 | 0.12 | 49.15 | (32.95) | 233.46 | |
| SCFFF | Spot Coffee | 0.87 | 15 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BLUU | Blue Water Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OMTK | Omnitek Engineering | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| GMBL | Esports Entertainment Group | (2.29) | 3 per month | 9.99 | (0) | 23.08 | (23.33) | 74.29 | |
| AGRS | Agristar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.00 | |
| SNSGF | Sense Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WNRS | Winners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.34 | 0.06 | 33.33 | (17.39) | 115.64 | |
| ELEK | China Xuefeng Environmental | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.63 | 0.12 | 95.12 | (50.00) | 150.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for TUGA Innovations
For every potential investor in TUGA, whether a beginner or expert, TUGA Innovations' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TUGA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TUGA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TUGA Innovations' price trends.TUGA Innovations Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TUGA Innovations pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TUGA Innovations could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TUGA Innovations by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TUGA Innovations Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TUGA Innovations pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TUGA Innovations shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TUGA Innovations pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TUGA Innovations entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TUGA Innovations Risk Indicators
The analysis of TUGA Innovations' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TUGA Innovations' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tuga pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 27.08 | |||
| Variance | 733.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TUGA Innovations
The number of cover stories for TUGA Innovations depends on current market conditions and TUGA Innovations' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TUGA Innovations is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TUGA Innovations' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in TUGA Pink Sheet
TUGA Innovations financial ratios help investors to determine whether TUGA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TUGA with respect to the benefits of owning TUGA Innovations security.