Tulikivi Oyj Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TULAV Stock  EUR 0.42  0.01  2.33%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tulikivi Oyj A on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.50. Tulikivi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tulikivi Oyj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Tulikivi Oyj - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Tulikivi Oyj prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Tulikivi Oyj price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Tulikivi Oyj A.

Tulikivi Oyj Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tulikivi Oyj A on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tulikivi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tulikivi Oyj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tulikivi Oyj Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tulikivi OyjTulikivi Oyj Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Tulikivi Oyj Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tulikivi Oyj's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tulikivi Oyj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.10, respectively. We have considered Tulikivi Oyj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.42
0.42
Expected Value
3.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tulikivi Oyj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tulikivi Oyj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0016
MADMean absolute deviation0.0084
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors0.496
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Tulikivi Oyj observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Tulikivi Oyj A observations.

Predictive Modules for Tulikivi Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tulikivi Oyj A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tulikivi Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.433.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.373.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tulikivi Oyj

For every potential investor in Tulikivi, whether a beginner or expert, Tulikivi Oyj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tulikivi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tulikivi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tulikivi Oyj's price trends.

Tulikivi Oyj Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tulikivi Oyj stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tulikivi Oyj could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tulikivi Oyj by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tulikivi Oyj A Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tulikivi Oyj's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tulikivi Oyj's current price.

Tulikivi Oyj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tulikivi Oyj stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tulikivi Oyj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tulikivi Oyj stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tulikivi Oyj A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tulikivi Oyj Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tulikivi Oyj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tulikivi Oyj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tulikivi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Tulikivi Stock

Tulikivi Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tulikivi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tulikivi with respect to the benefits of owning Tulikivi Oyj security.