Tradeweb Markets Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| TW Stock | USD 108.81 -1.64 -1.48% |
This 4 Period Moving Average projection for Tradeweb Markets is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Tradeweb Markets at 109.38 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Tradeweb Markets at 109.38 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 124.72 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Tradeweb Markets' recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tradeweb Markets | Tradeweb Markets Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Tradeweb Markets frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The model places downside around 107.69 and upside around 111.06 for the next session. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Tradeweb Markets stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7565 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2644 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.188 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 124.7175 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tradeweb Markets
The autocorrelation structure of Tradeweb Markets' daily returns reveals whether Tradeweb Markets exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements distinguishes persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Tradeweb Markets Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares Tradeweb Markets' closing price to its range over a given period.Tradeweb Markets Related Equities
These related stocks within the Financials space give benchmarks for judging Tradeweb Markets' results, margins, and growth trend. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how Tradeweb Markets' capital structure stacks up against similar firms. Firms that trade at big discounts to peers on core metrics may be worth more research. Weighing both financial metrics and softer factors when comparing these firms produces a more balanced assessment.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tradeweb Markets Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Tradeweb Markets measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Tradeweb Markets have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside Tradeweb Markets's volume profile and volatility measures.
Tradeweb Markets Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for Tradeweb Markets measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Tradeweb Markets' price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing Tradeweb Markets' risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Tradeweb Markets Short Properties
Short-interest data for Tradeweb Markets reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 214.9 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.08 billion |